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Predictions today · Football

Deportivo Maldonado vs CA Cerro prediction

November 14, 2026 · 19:30 UTC · Football · Primera División (Uruguay)

Deportivo Maldonado vs CA Cerro — football, Primera División (Uruguay). Kickoff November 14, 2026, 19:30 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.

Odds and chances (Polymarket market)
Deportivo Maldonado1.64 · 61%
Draw4.35 · 23%
CA Cerro6.45 · 16%

Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.

🐋 Whale money

No big bets by tracked wallets on this match yet. They often come in the last hours before kickoff.

Teams: Deportivo Maldonado · CA Cerro

Open the match in the app

Market in numbers
⏱ Kickoff in3 d 16 h
⚖️ Market margin0.0%
📋 Open markets49

Match preview

The Polymarket market makes Deportivo Maldonado the favourite: 61% chance, odds 1.64. Odds: Deportivo Maldonado — 1.64, Draw — 4.35, CA Cerro — 6.45. The line has barely moved in the last 24 hours. The chances add up to 100%: the market margin is about 0.0% (bookmakers usually take 4–8%).

Questions about the match

📐 Pinnacle fair line · 🔒 Max

For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans

Form and head to head

Form: last 5 matches
Deportivo Maldonado
vs Central Español Fútbol Club 3:0; vs Liverpool 1:1; @ Nacional 3:2
WDLWD
CA Cerro
vs Montevideo Wanderers 2:0; @ Defensor Sporting 3:2; vs Cerro Largo 1:1
LWDLL

W — win, D — draw, L — loss; newest on the right.

⚔️ Head to head
02.05.2026 CER 0 – MAL 1
05.05.2024 MAL 3 – CER 0
03.09.2023 MAL 2 – CER 1
17.07.2023 MAL 1 – CER 2

Source: ESPN.

Standings

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Liverpool13931+1430
2Montevideo City Torque13913+1228
3Nacional13823+626
4Deportivo Maldonado13643+822
5Peñarol13652+822
6Racing (Montevideo)13544+419
7Progreso13616-219
8Juventud13463+218
9Cerro13535-418
10Montevideo Wanderers13445-516
11Boston River13436-215
12Albion FC13418-513

Source: ESPN, updated every few hours.

Who will win Deportivo Maldonado vs CA Cerro?

By market prices on Polymarket, Deportivo Maldonado is the favourite with a 61% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.

What are the odds for Deportivo Maldonado vs CA Cerro?

Deportivo Maldonado — 1.64, Draw — 4.35, CA Cerro — 6.45 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.

More Primera División (Uruguay) predictions

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How we make this page

Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after kickoff. Before the game — in the app. We show losses too: how the Smart score is counted · honest record · daily predictions.

Updated 02:48 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.

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