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Cerro Largo FC vs CA Progreso prediction
November 12, 2026 · 23:00 UTC · Football · Primera División (Uruguay)
Cerro Largo FC vs CA Progreso — football, Primera División (Uruguay). Kickoff November 12, 2026, 23:00 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.
Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.
No big bets by tracked wallets on this match yet. They often come in the last hours before kickoff.
Teams: Cerro Largo FC · CA Progreso
Match preview
The Polymarket market makes Cerro Largo FC the favourite: 53% chance, odds 1.89. Odds: Cerro Largo FC — 1.89, Draw — 4.08, CA Progreso — 4.65. In the last 24 hours the chance of Cerro Largo FC went up from 48% to 53% (odds 2.11 → 1.89): the market believes in it more. The chances add up to 99%: the market margin is about 0.0% (bookmakers usually take 4–8%).
Questions about the match
For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans
Form and head to head
@ Danubio 2:1; vs Albion FC 1:0; @ Cerro 1:1LLDWL
@ Liverpool 3:2; @ Peñarol 1:1; vs Juventud 2:0LDWWL
W — win, D — draw, L — loss; newest on the right.
Source: ESPN.
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Deportivo Maldonado | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +8 | 22 |
| 5 | Peñarol | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 22 |
| 6 | Racing (Montevideo) | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 19 |
| 7 | Progreso | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 19 |
| 8 | Juventud | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +2 | 18 |
| 9 | Cerro | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 18 |
| 10 | Montevideo Wanderers | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 16 |
| 11 | Boston River | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -2 | 15 |
| 12 | Albion FC | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -5 | 13 |
| 13 | Defensor Sporting | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -7 | 12 |
| 14 | Danubio | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 10 |
| 15 | Cerro Largo | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -7 | 9 |
| 16 | Central Español Fútbol Club | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -14 | 8 |
Source: ESPN, updated every few hours.
Who will win Cerro Largo FC vs CA Progreso?
By market prices on Polymarket, Cerro Largo FC is the favourite with a 53% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.
What are the odds for Cerro Largo FC vs CA Progreso?
Cerro Largo FC — 1.89, Draw — 4.08, CA Progreso — 4.65 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.
How have the odds for Cerro Largo FC vs CA Progreso changed?
In the last 24 hours the chance of Cerro Largo FC went up from 48% to 53% (odds 2.11 → 1.89): the market believes in it more.
More Primera División (Uruguay) predictions
- Danubio FC vs Liverpool Montevideo · November 15, 2026
- Montevideo City Torque vs Racing Club Montevideo · November 13, 2026
- Central Espanol FC vs CA Boston River · November 14, 2026
- Deportivo Maldonado vs CA Cerro · November 14, 2026
- Club Nacional de Football vs Albion FC · November 14, 2026
- Defensor Sporting vs CA Penarol Montevideo · November 15, 2026
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How we make this page
Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after kickoff. Before the game — in the app. We show losses too: how the Smart score is counted · honest record · daily predictions.
Updated 02:40 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.
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