Predictions today · Football
Defensor Sporting vs CA Penarol Montevideo prediction
November 15, 2026 · 23:00 UTC · Football · Primera División (Uruguay)
Defensor Sporting vs CA Penarol Montevideo — football, Primera División (Uruguay). Kickoff November 15, 2026, 23:00 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.
Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.
No big bets by tracked wallets on this match yet. They often come in the last hours before kickoff.
Teams: Defensor Sporting · CA Penarol Montevideo
Match preview
The Polymarket market makes CA Penarol Montevideo the favourite: 60% chance, odds 1.68. Odds: Defensor Sporting — 6.25, Draw — 4.35, CA Penarol Montevideo — 1.68. The line has barely moved in the last 24 hours. The chances add up to 98%: the market margin is about 0.0% (bookmakers usually take 4–8%).
Questions about the match
For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans
Form and head to head
@ Albion FC 3:2; vs Cerro 3:2; @ Boston River 1:0LLLDW
@ Racing (Montevideo) 1:0; vs Progreso 1:1; @ Liverpool 1:0WDLDD
W — win, D — draw, L — loss; newest on the right.
Source: ESPN.
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Montevideo Wanderers | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 16 |
| 11 | Boston River | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -2 | 15 |
| 12 | Albion FC | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -5 | 13 |
| 13 | Defensor Sporting | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -7 | 12 |
| 14 | Danubio | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 10 |
| 15 | Cerro Largo | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -7 | 9 |
| 16 | Central Español Fútbol Club | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -14 | 8 |
Source: ESPN, updated every few hours.
Who will win Defensor Sporting vs CA Penarol Montevideo?
By market prices on Polymarket, CA Penarol Montevideo is the favourite with a 60% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.
What are the odds for Defensor Sporting vs CA Penarol Montevideo?
Defensor Sporting — 6.25, Draw — 4.35, CA Penarol Montevideo — 1.68 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.
More Primera División (Uruguay) predictions
- Danubio FC vs Liverpool Montevideo · November 15, 2026
- Cerro Largo FC vs CA Progreso · November 12, 2026
- Montevideo City Torque vs Racing Club Montevideo · November 13, 2026
- Central Espanol FC vs CA Boston River · November 14, 2026
- Deportivo Maldonado vs CA Cerro · November 14, 2026
- Club Nacional de Football vs Albion FC · November 14, 2026
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Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after kickoff. Before the game — in the app. We show losses too: how the Smart score is counted · honest record · daily predictions.
Updated 02:48 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.
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