Predictions today · UFC
Alatengheili vs Juan Diaz prediction
November 14, 2026 · 22:00 UTC · UFC · UFC
Alatengheili vs Juan Diaz — ufc, UFC. Kickoff November 14, 2026, 22:00 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.
Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.
No big bets by tracked wallets on this match yet. They often come in the last hours before kickoff.
Teams: Alatengheili · Juan Diaz
Match preview
The Polymarket market makes Juan Diaz the favourite: 78% chance, odds 1.27. Odds: Alatengheili — 4.65, Juan Diaz — 1.27. The line has barely moved in the last 24 hours. The chances add up to 100%: the market margin is about 0.0% (bookmakers usually take 4–8%). Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in UFC: 18, 8 won (44%). $10 on each would be +$0 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).
Questions about the match
For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans
Who will win Alatengheili vs Juan Diaz?
By market prices on Polymarket, Juan Diaz is the favourite with a 78% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.
What are the odds for Alatengheili vs Juan Diaz?
Alatengheili — 4.65, Juan Diaz — 1.27 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.
Do whales win in UFC?
Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in UFC: 18, 8 won (44%). $10 on each would be +$0 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).
More UFC predictions
- Josh Hokit vs Ciryl Gane · November 14, 2026
- Kevin Holland vs Uroš Medić · November 14, 2026
- Luis Gurule vs Bilal Hasan · November 14, 2026
- Stephen Thompson vs Charles Radtke · November 14, 2026
- Evan Elder vs Samuel Sanches · November 14, 2026
- Amanda Nunes vs Kayla Harrison · November 14, 2026
- Caio Borralho vs Yousri Belgaroui · November 14, 2026
- Macy Chiasson vs Bia Mesquita · November 14, 2026
More matches
- Drew Dober vs Chris Duncan · November 14, 2026
- Jim Miller vs Terrance McKinney · November 14, 2026
- Cesar Almeida vs Donte Johnson · November 14, 2026
- Jared Gordon vs Melquizael Costa · November 14, 2026
How we make this page
Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after kickoff. Before the game — in the app. We show losses too: how the Smart score is counted · honest record · daily predictions.
Updated 03:28 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.
All whale signals instantly, personal whale alerts and honest stats — in the PrognosX app.
Start free — 3 days Pro