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Macy Chiasson vs Bia Mesquita prediction
November 14, 2026 · 22:00 UTC · Ufc · UFC
Macy Chiasson vs Bia Mesquita — ufc, UFC. Kickoff November 14, 2026, 22:00 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.
Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.
No big bets by tracked wallets on this match yet. They often come in the last hours before kickoff.
Teams: Macy Chiasson · Bia Mesquita
Match preview
The Polymarket market makes Bia Mesquita the favourite: 68% chance, odds 1.46. Odds: Macy Chiasson — 3.17, Bia Mesquita — 1.46. In the last 24 hours the chance of Macy Chiasson went down from 34% to 32% (odds 2.90 → 3.17): the market believes in it less. The chances add up to 100%: the market margin is about 0.0% (bookmakers usually take 4–8%).
Questions about the match
For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans
Who will win Macy Chiasson vs Bia Mesquita?
By market prices on Polymarket, Bia Mesquita is the favourite with a 68% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.
What are the odds for Macy Chiasson vs Bia Mesquita?
Macy Chiasson — 3.17, Bia Mesquita — 1.46 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.
How have the odds for Macy Chiasson vs Bia Mesquita changed?
In the last 24 hours the chance of Macy Chiasson went down from 34% to 32% (odds 2.90 → 3.17): the market believes in it less.
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How we make this page
Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after kickoff. Before the game — in the app. We show losses too: how we tested 634,000 whale bets · daily predictions.
Updated 07:00 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.
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