Predictions today · Football
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs FC Alverca result
November 2, 2026 · 20:15 UTC · Football · Primeira Liga
Whales had $4 813 on this match before kickoff; $4 813 of it was on the winning side (100%).
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs FC Alverca — football, Primeira Liga. Kickoff November 2, 2026, 20:15 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.
Benfica should win comfortably given the big gap in class, with a draw unlikely. Benfica −1.5 is likely to cover, and over 2.5 goals is the more probable total, though H2H score data is missing.
Every verdict is tracked to the result — losses included.
Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.
$12 245 · 19 wallets
Most of it is on Sport Lisboa e Benfica win: $11 372.
Teams: Sport Lisboa e Benfica · FC Alverca
Match preview
The Polymarket market makes Sport Lisboa e Benfica the favourite: 92% chance, odds 1.08. Odds: Sport Lisboa e Benfica — 1.08, Draw — 14.29. In the last 24 hours the chance of Sport Lisboa e Benfica went up from 85% to 92% (odds 1.18 → 1.08): the market believes in it more. $932 860 has already been traded on this match on Polymarket, $198 866 is waiting in the order book. Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in Primeira Liga: 13, 10 won (77%). $10 on each would be +$42 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).
Questions about the match
For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans
Form and head to head
@ FC Porto 3:1; vs Vitória de Guimaraes 2:0; vs Celtic 4:1LWWWW
@ C.D. Nacional 3:1; vs Rio Ave 1:0; @ FC Famalicao 4:1WWWLL
W — win, D — draw, L — loss; newest on the right.
Source: ESPN.
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | +21 | 30 |
| 2 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +18 | 22 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 21 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 5 | Arouca | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 20 |
| 6 | Académico de Viseu | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 20 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 8 | Braga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 14 |
| 10 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +0 | 11 |
| 11 | FC Famalicao | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +0 | 10 |
| 12 | Estrela | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | Vitória de Guimaraes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | +0 | 8 |
Source: ESPN, updated every few hours.
How did the whales do on Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs FC Alverca?
Whales had $4 813 on this match before kickoff; $4 813 of it was on the winning side (100%).
Who will win Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs FC Alverca?
By market prices on Polymarket, Sport Lisboa e Benfica is the favourite with a 92% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.
What are the odds for Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs FC Alverca?
Sport Lisboa e Benfica — 1.08, Draw — 14.29 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.
Where do the whales bet on Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs FC Alverca?
Tracked big wallets have put $12 245 on this match (19 wallets). The side is shown above.
How have the odds for Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs FC Alverca changed?
In the last 24 hours the chance of Sport Lisboa e Benfica went up from 85% to 92% (odds 1.18 → 1.08): the market believes in it more.
Do whales win in Primeira Liga?
Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in Primeira Liga: 13, 10 won (77%). $10 on each would be +$42 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).
Upcoming matches of these teams
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs Sport Lisboa e Benfica · November 8, 2026
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs KKS Lech Poznań · November 5, 2026
- FC Alverca vs Casa Pia AC · November 7, 2026
More Primeira Liga predictions
- Vitória SC vs FC Porto · November 8, 2026
- FC Famalicão vs FC Arouca · November 6, 2026
- CD Nacional vs Académico de Viseu FC · November 7, 2026
- Sporting CP vs Moreirense FC · November 7, 2026
- CD Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente FC · November 8, 2026
- Estoril Praia vs CS Marítimo · November 8, 2026
- Rio Ave FC vs SC Braga · November 8, 2026
More matches
- Villarreal CF vs Paris Saint-Germain FC · November 3, 2026
- FC Barcelona vs Aston Villa FC · November 3, 2026
- AEK vs Real Madrid CF · November 4, 2026
- Manchester United FC vs AS Roma · November 3, 2026
- SK Slavia Praha vs Arsenal FC · November 4, 2026
How we make this page
Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after kickoff. Before the game — in the app. We show losses too: how we tested 634,000 whale bets · daily predictions.
Updated 04:09 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.
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