Predictions today · Football
FC Famalicão vs FC Arouca prediction
November 6, 2026 · 20:45 UTC · Football · Primeira Liga
FC Famalicão vs FC Arouca — football, Primeira Liga. Kickoff November 6, 2026, 20:45 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.
Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.
No big bets by tracked wallets on this match yet. They often come in the last hours before kickoff.
Teams: FC Famalicão · FC Arouca
Match preview
The Polymarket market makes FC Famalicão the favourite: 46% chance, odds 2.17. Odds: FC Famalicão — 2.17, Draw — 3.64, FC Arouca — 3.64. In the last 24 hours the chance of FC Famalicão went down from 49% to 46% (odds 2.04 → 2.17): the market believes in it less. The chances add up to 101%: the market margin is about 1.0% (bookmakers usually take 4–8%). $37 719 has already been traded on this match on Polymarket, $6 852 is waiting in the order book. Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in Primeira Liga: 13, 10 won (77%). $10 on each would be +$42 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).
Questions about the match
For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans
Form and head to head
@ C.D. Nacional 4:0; vs Alverca 4:1; @ Paredes 1:0WLLWL
@ Sporting CP 2:2; vs Estrela 1:0; @ Os Belenenses 4:3DWWWW
W — win, D — draw, L — loss; newest on the right.
Source: ESPN.
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +19 | 25 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 21 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 5 | Arouca | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 20 |
| 6 | Académico de Viseu | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 20 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 | Braga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
Source: ESPN, updated every few hours.
Who will win FC Famalicão vs FC Arouca?
By market prices on Polymarket, FC Famalicão is the favourite with a 46% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.
What are the odds for FC Famalicão vs FC Arouca?
FC Famalicão — 2.17, Draw — 3.64, FC Arouca — 3.64 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.
How have the odds for FC Famalicão vs FC Arouca changed?
In the last 24 hours the chance of FC Famalicão went down from 49% to 46% (odds 2.04 → 2.17): the market believes in it less.
Do whales win in Primeira Liga?
Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in Primeira Liga: 13, 10 won (77%). $10 on each would be +$42 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).
More Primeira Liga predictions
- Vitória SC vs FC Porto · November 8, 2026
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs Sport Lisboa e Benfica · November 8, 2026
- CD Nacional vs Académico de Viseu FC · November 7, 2026
- FC Alverca vs Casa Pia AC · November 7, 2026
- Sporting CP vs Moreirense FC · November 7, 2026
- CD Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente FC · November 8, 2026
- Estoril Praia vs CS Marítimo · November 8, 2026
- Rio Ave FC vs SC Braga · November 8, 2026
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How we make this page
Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after kickoff. Before the game — in the app. We show losses too: how we tested 634,000 whale bets · daily predictions.
Updated 06:24 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.
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