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CF Estrela da Amadora vs Sport Lisboa e Benfica prediction
November 8, 2026 · 20:30 UTC · Football · Primeira Liga
CF Estrela da Amadora vs Sport Lisboa e Benfica — football, Primeira Liga. Kickoff November 8, 2026, 20:30 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.
Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.
$44 · 1 wallets
Which side — in the app (Pro) or here after the game.
Teams: CF Estrela da Amadora · Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Match preview
The Polymarket market makes Sport Lisboa e Benfica the favourite: 78% chance, odds 1.27. Odds: CF Estrela da Amadora — 12.50, Draw — 7.14, Sport Lisboa e Benfica — 1.27. In the last 24 hours the chance of Sport Lisboa e Benfica went down from 82% to 78% (odds 1.21 → 1.27): the market believes in it less. The chances add up to 101%: the market margin is about 0.5% (bookmakers usually take 4–8%). $47 906 has already been traded on this match on Polymarket, $12 831 is waiting in the order book. Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in Primeira Liga: 13, 10 won (77%). $10 on each would be +$42 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).
Questions about the match
For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans
Form and head to head
vs Académico de Viseu 2:0; @ Arouca 1:0; @ AD Fazendense 2:1LLWLL
vs Vitória de Guimaraes 2:0; vs Celtic 4:1; @ Omonia Nicosia 4:1WWWWW
W — win, D — draw, L — loss; newest on the right.
Source: ESPN.
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | +21 | 30 |
| 2 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +19 | 25 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 21 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 5 | Arouca | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 20 |
| 6 | Académico de Viseu | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 20 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 | Braga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 14 |
| 10 | Alverca | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | FC Famalicao | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +0 | 10 |
| 12 | Estrela | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | Vitória de Guimaraes | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | +0 | 9 |
| 14 | Maritimo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
Source: ESPN, updated every few hours.
Who will win CF Estrela da Amadora vs Sport Lisboa e Benfica?
By market prices on Polymarket, Sport Lisboa e Benfica is the favourite with a 78% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.
What are the odds for CF Estrela da Amadora vs Sport Lisboa e Benfica?
CF Estrela da Amadora — 12.50, Draw — 7.14, Sport Lisboa e Benfica — 1.27 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.
Where do the whales bet on CF Estrela da Amadora vs Sport Lisboa e Benfica?
Tracked big wallets have put $44 on this match (1 wallets). Which side — in the PrognosX app, or on this page after the game.
How have the odds for CF Estrela da Amadora vs Sport Lisboa e Benfica changed?
In the last 24 hours the chance of Sport Lisboa e Benfica went down from 82% to 78% (odds 1.21 → 1.27): the market believes in it less.
Do whales win in Primeira Liga?
Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in Primeira Liga: 13, 10 won (77%). $10 on each would be +$42 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).
Upcoming matches of these teams
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs KKS Lech Poznań · November 5, 2026
More Primeira Liga predictions
- Vitória SC vs FC Porto · November 8, 2026
- FC Famalicão vs FC Arouca · November 6, 2026
- CD Nacional vs Académico de Viseu FC · November 7, 2026
- FC Alverca vs Casa Pia AC · November 7, 2026
- Sporting CP vs Moreirense FC · November 7, 2026
- CD Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente FC · November 8, 2026
- Estoril Praia vs CS Marítimo · November 8, 2026
- Rio Ave FC vs SC Braga · November 8, 2026
More matches
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- Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Tochigi City FC · November 3, 2026
- Manchester United FC vs AS Roma · November 3, 2026
- Villarreal CF vs Paris Saint-Germain FC · November 3, 2026
How we make this page
Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after kickoff. Before the game — in the app. We show losses too: how we tested 634,000 whale bets · daily predictions.
Updated 07:00 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.
All sharp signals instantly, personal whale alerts and honest stats — in the PrognosX app.
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