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Predictions today · Football

Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs Mirassol FC prediction

November 3, 2026 · 22:30 UTC · Football · Brazil Serie A

Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs Mirassol FC — football, Brazil Serie A. Kickoff November 3, 2026, 22:30 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.

Odds and chances (Polymarket market)
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol3.77 · 26%
Draw3.64 · 28%
Mirassol FC2.15 · 46%

Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.

🐋 Whale money

No big bets by tracked wallets on this match yet. They often come in the last hours before kickoff.

Teams: Associação Chapecoense de Futebol · Mirassol FC

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Market in numbers
⏱ Kickoff in18 h 19 min
📈 24h moveDraw: +3 pp
⚖️ Market margin0.5%
💵 Traded on Polymarket$7 178
📋 Open markets92

Match preview

The Polymarket market makes Mirassol FC the favourite: 46% chance, odds 2.15. Odds: Associação Chapecoense de Futebol — 3.77, Draw — 3.64, Mirassol FC — 2.15. In the last 24 hours the chance of Draw went up from 25% to 28% (odds 4.08 → 3.64): the market believes in it more. The chances add up to 101%: the market margin is about 0.5% (bookmakers usually take 4–8%). $7 178 has already been traded on this match on Polymarket, $40 546 is waiting in the order book. Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in Brazil Serie A: 19, 13 won (68%). $10 on each would be +$37 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).

Questions about the match

📐 Pinnacle fair line · 🔒 Max

For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans

Form and head to head

Form: last 5 matches
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol
@ Vitória 4:0; vs Athletico Paranaense 4:1; @ Botafogo 1:0LLLWL
Mirassol FC
@ Red Bull Bragantino 1:1; @ Bahia 1:0; vs Internacional 2:0DLWDL

W — win, D — draw, L — loss; newest on the right.

⚔️ Head to head
10.05.2026 MIR 1 – CHA 1
24.11.2024 MIR 1 – CHA 0
05.08.2024 CHA 0 – MIR 1
29.07.2023 CHA 0 – MIR 1
15.04.2023 MIR 1 – CHA 0

Source: ESPN.

Standings

#TeamPWDLGDPts
13Vasco da Gama3210814-938
14Vitória3310815-1338
15Grêmio3391014-737
16Mirassol3391014-1037
17Corinthians339915-636
18Internacional3381114-535
19Remo3361116-1529
20Chapecoense324919-3421

Source: ESPN, updated every few hours.

Who will win Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs Mirassol FC?

By market prices on Polymarket, Mirassol FC is the favourite with a 46% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.

What are the odds for Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs Mirassol FC?

Associação Chapecoense de Futebol — 3.77, Draw — 3.64, Mirassol FC — 2.15 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.

How have the odds for Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs Mirassol FC changed?

In the last 24 hours the chance of Draw went up from 25% to 28% (odds 4.08 → 3.64): the market believes in it more.

Do whales win in Brazil Serie A?

Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in Brazil Serie A: 19, 13 won (68%). $10 on each would be +$37 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).

More Brazil Serie A predictions

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How we make this page

Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after kickoff. Before the game — in the app. We show losses too: how we tested 634,000 whale bets · daily predictions.

Updated 04:10 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.

All sharp signals instantly, personal whale alerts and honest stats — in the PrognosX app.

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