Predictions today · Football
CA Paranaense vs CR Vasco da Gama prediction
November 4, 2026 · 22:30 UTC · Football · Brazil Serie A
CA Paranaense vs CR Vasco da Gama — football, Brazil Serie A. Kickoff November 4, 2026, 22:30 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.
Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.
No big bets by tracked wallets on this match yet. They often come in the last hours before kickoff.
Teams: CA Paranaense · CR Vasco da Gama
Match preview
The Polymarket market makes CA Paranaense the favourite: 46% chance, odds 2.15. Odds: CA Paranaense — 2.15, Draw — 3.77, CR Vasco da Gama — 3.64. In the last 24 hours the chance of CA Paranaense went up from 44% to 46% (odds 2.27 → 2.15): the market believes in it more. The chances add up to 101%: the market margin is about 0.5% (bookmakers usually take 4–8%). Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in Brazil Serie A: 19, 13 won (68%). $10 on each would be +$37 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).
Questions about the match
For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | São Paulo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | +0 | 43 |
| 11 | Coritiba | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 42 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | -8 | 39 |
| 13 | Vasco da Gama | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -9 | 38 |
| 14 | Vitória | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | -13 | 38 |
| 15 | Grêmio | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | -7 | 37 |
| 16 | Mirassol | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 37 |
Source: ESPN, updated every few hours.
Who will win CA Paranaense vs CR Vasco da Gama?
By market prices on Polymarket, CA Paranaense is the favourite with a 46% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.
What are the odds for CA Paranaense vs CR Vasco da Gama?
CA Paranaense — 2.15, Draw — 3.77, CR Vasco da Gama — 3.64 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.
How have the odds for CA Paranaense vs CR Vasco da Gama changed?
In the last 24 hours the chance of CA Paranaense went up from 44% to 46% (odds 2.27 → 2.15): the market believes in it more.
Do whales win in Brazil Serie A?
Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in Brazil Serie A: 19, 13 won (68%). $10 on each would be +$37 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).
Upcoming matches of these teams
- CR Vasco da Gama vs SE Palmeiras · November 8, 2026
More Brazil Serie A predictions
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs Mirassol FC · November 3, 2026
- SC Internacional vs Coritiba FBC · November 4, 2026
- CR Flamengo vs Grêmio FBPA · November 4, 2026
- São Paulo FC vs SC Corinthians Paulista · November 5, 2026
- Botafogo FR vs CA Mineiro · November 5, 2026
- SE Palmeiras vs Clube do Remo · November 5, 2026
- Cruzeiro EC vs EC Bahia · November 6, 2026
- EC Vitória vs Fluminense FC · November 6, 2026
More matches
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- FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP · November 3, 2026
- Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Tochigi City FC · November 3, 2026
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How we make this page
Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after kickoff. Before the game — in the app. We show losses too: how we tested 634,000 whale bets · daily predictions.
Updated 08:44 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.
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