Predictions today · Football
New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic FC prediction
November 16, 2026 · 00:00 UTC · Football · USL Championship
New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic FC — football, USL Championship. Kickoff November 16, 2026, 00:00 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.
Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.
No big bets by tracked wallets on this match yet. They often come in the last hours before kickoff.
Teams: New Mexico United · Sacramento Republic FC
Match preview
The Polymarket market makes Sacramento Republic FC the favourite: 34% chance, odds 2.90. Odds: New Mexico United — 2.94, Draw — 3.08, Sacramento Republic FC — 2.90. The line has barely moved in the last 24 hours. The chances add up to 101.0%: the market margin is about 1.0% (bookmakers usually take 4–8%).
For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans
Form and head to head
vs Monterey Bay 3:1; @ San Antonio FC 1:0; @ El Paso Locomotive FC 1:0WLWWW
vs Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC 1:1; @ El Paso Locomotive FC 1:0; vs Oakland Roots 3:2DWWWW
W — win, D — draw, L — loss; newest on the right.
Source: ESPN.
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Mexico United | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | +11 | 52 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic FC | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | +14 | 51 |
| 3 | El Paso Locomotive FC | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | +10 | 50 |
| 4 | Lexington | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +18 | 48 |
| 5 | Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 6 | San Antonio FC | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | +2 | 45 |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | +3 | 43 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising FC | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | -1 | 40 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | -1 | 38 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights FC | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -7 | 36 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | -20 | 24 |
Source: ESPN, updated every few hours.
Questions about the match
Who will win New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic FC?
By market prices on Polymarket, Sacramento Republic FC is the favourite with a 34% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.
What are the odds for New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic FC?
New Mexico United — 2.94, Draw — 3.08, Sacramento Republic FC — 2.90 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.
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How we make this page
Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after the game. Before it ends — in the app. We show losses too: how the Smart score is counted · honest record · daily predictions.
Updated 16:05 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.
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