Predictions today · Football
Whale money on Wales vs Portugal
November 17, 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Football · UEFA Nations League
Wales vs Portugal — football, UEFA Nations League. Kickoff November 17, 2026, 19:45 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.
Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price. “Was” = the price 24 hours ago.
$5,000 · 2 whales
Which side — in the app (Pro) or here after the game.
Match preview
The Polymarket market makes Portugal the favourite: 66% chance, odds 1.50. Odds: Wales — 12.50, Draw — 5.71, Portugal — 1.50. In the last 24 hours the chance of Draw went down from 25% to 18% (odds 4.00 → 5.71): the market believes in it less. $19,191 has already been traded on this match on Polymarket, $6,067 is waiting in the order book.
For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans
Form and head to head
@ Romania 2:1; @ Portugal 1:0; @ Denmark 2:0LLLWL
vs Spain 1:0; vs Wales 1:0; @ Norway 2:1LWWWW
W — win, D — draw, L — loss; newest on the right.
Source: ESPN.
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 12 |
| 2 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +0 | 6 |
| 3 | Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Source: ESPN, updated every few hours.
Questions about the match
Who will win Wales vs Portugal?
By market prices on Polymarket, Portugal is the favourite with a 66% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.
What are the odds for Wales vs Portugal?
Wales — 12.50, Draw — 5.71, Portugal — 1.50 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.
Where do the whales bet on Wales vs Portugal?
Tracked big wallets have put $5,000 on this match (2 wallets). Which side — in the PrognosX app, or on this page after the game.
How have the odds for Wales vs Portugal changed?
In the last 24 hours the chance of Draw went down from 25% to 18% (odds 4.00 → 5.71): the market believes in it less.
Upcoming matches of these teams
- Portugal vs Denmark · November 14, 2026
- Norway vs Wales · November 14, 2026
More UEFA Nations League predictions
- Luxembourg vs Estonia · November 13, 2026
- Netherlands vs Greece · November 13, 2026
- Serbia vs Germany · November 13, 2026
- Slovenia vs Switzerland · November 13, 2026
- Bulgaria vs Iceland · November 13, 2026
- France vs Türkiye · November 15, 2026
- Spain vs England · November 15, 2026
- Slovakia vs Faroe Islands · November 13, 2026
More matches
- Guatemala vs Canada · November 14, 2026
- Saudi Arabia vs Korea Republic · November 13, 2026
- Japan vs Brazil · November 14, 2026
- Qatar vs Australia · November 13, 2026
How we make this page
Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after the game. Before it ends — in the app. We show losses too: how the Smart score is counted · honest record · daily predictions.
Updated 12:18 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.
All whale signals instantly, personal whale alerts and honest stats — in the PrognosX app.
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