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Austin Bashi vs Carlos Calderon prediction
November 7, 2026 · 22:00 UTC · UFC · UFC
Austin Bashi vs Carlos Calderon — ufc, UFC. Kickoff November 7, 2026, 22:00 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.
Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.
No big bets by tracked wallets on this match yet. They often come in the last hours before kickoff.
Teams: Austin Bashi · Carlos Calderon
Match preview
The Polymarket market makes Austin Bashi the favourite: 82% chance, odds 1.21. Odds: Austin Bashi — 1.21, Carlos Calderon — 5.71. The line has barely moved in the last 24 hours. The chances add up to 100%: the market margin is about 0.0% (bookmakers usually take 4–8%). $1,947 has already been traded on this match on Polymarket, $9,475 is waiting in the order book.
Questions about the match
For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans
Who will win Austin Bashi vs Carlos Calderon?
By market prices on Polymarket, Austin Bashi is the favourite with a 82% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.
What are the odds for Austin Bashi vs Carlos Calderon?
Austin Bashi — 1.21, Carlos Calderon — 5.71 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.
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How we make this page
Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after kickoff. Before the game — in the app. We show losses too: how we tested 634,000 whale bets · daily predictions.
Updated 01:31 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.
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