Predictions today · Football
Newcastle United FC vs Arsenal FC prediction
November 21, 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Football · Premier League
Newcastle United FC vs Arsenal FC — football, Premier League. Kickoff November 21, 2026, 17:30 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.
Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.
No big bets by tracked wallets on this match yet. They often come in the last hours before kickoff.
Teams: Newcastle United FC · Arsenal FC
Match preview
The Polymarket market makes Arsenal FC the favourite: 62% chance, odds 1.61. Odds: Newcastle United FC — 6.06, Draw — 4.44, Arsenal FC — 1.61. The line has barely moved in the last 24 hours. The chances add up to 101%: the market margin is about 1.0% (bookmakers usually take 4–8%). $23,240 has already been traded on this match on Polymarket, $7,192 is waiting in the order book.
Questions about the match
For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans
Form and head to head
vs Aston Villa 1:0; @ Crystal Palace 2:0; @ Everton 3:1LWLLD
vs Everton 2:0; @ Fleetwood Town 1:1; @ Liverpool 1:0WLWWW
W — win, D — draw, L — loss; newest on the right.
Source: ESPN.
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +19 | 22 |
| 3 | Manchester City | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | +8 | 21 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 18 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | Everton | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 | AFC Bournemouth | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 | Brentford | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +5 | 14 |
| 9 | Leeds United | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Tottenham Hotspur | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Newcastle United | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | Hull City | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | +0 | 11 |
| 14 | Ipswich Town | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
Source: ESPN, updated every few hours.
Who will win Newcastle United FC vs Arsenal FC?
By market prices on Polymarket, Arsenal FC is the favourite with a 62% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.
What are the odds for Newcastle United FC vs Arsenal FC?
Newcastle United FC — 6.06, Draw — 4.44, Arsenal FC — 1.61 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.
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How we make this page
Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after kickoff. Before the game — in the app. We show losses too: how the Smart score is counted · honest record · daily predictions.
Updated 20:22 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.
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