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Predictions today · Football

Independiente Santa Fe vs AD Pasto prediction

November 8, 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Football · Colombia Primera A

Independiente Santa Fe vs AD Pasto — football, Colombia Primera A. Kickoff November 8, 2026, 19:00 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.

Odds and chances (Polymarket market)
Independiente Santa Fe1.61 · 62%
Draw4.26 · 24%
AD Pasto3.92 · 26%

Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.

🐋 Whale money

No big bets by tracked wallets on this match yet. They often come in the last hours before kickoff.

Teams: Independiente Santa Fe · AD Pasto

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Market in numbers
⏱ Kickoff in5 d 12 h
📈 24h moveAD Pasto: −2 pp
⚖️ Market margin11.0%
📋 Open markets89

Match preview

The Polymarket market makes Independiente Santa Fe the favourite: 62% chance, odds 1.61. Odds: Independiente Santa Fe — 1.61, Draw — 4.26, AD Pasto — 3.92. In the last 24 hours the chance of AD Pasto went down from 28% to 26% (odds 3.64 → 3.92): the market believes in it less. The chances add up to 111%: the market margin is about 11.0% (bookmakers usually take 4–8%).

Questions about the match

📐 Pinnacle fair line · 🔒 Max

For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans

Form and head to head

Form: last 5 matches
Independiente Santa Fe
@ Llaneros FC 1:0; vs Jaguares de Córdoba 2:1; vs Atlético Bucaramanga 2:1
LWWLL
AD Pasto
vs Fortaleza CEIF 0:0; vs Alianza FC 1:0; @ Atlético Nacional 3:0
DLLWL

W — win, D — draw, L — loss; newest on the right.

⚔️ Head to head
23.04.2026 PAS 1 – SFE 2
20.09.2025 PAS 1 – SFE 1
05.04.2025 SFE 1 – PAS 1
02.12.2024 SFE 1 – PAS 2
29.11.2024 PAS 1 – SFE 0

Source: ESPN.

Standings

#TeamPWDLGDPts
2América de Cali161042+1934
3Deportivo Cali17962+1633
4Atlético Bucaramanga17782+929
5Independiente Santa Fe16844+628
6Millonarios16682+1026
7Independiente Medellín17827+026
8Águilas Doradas17674+225

Source: ESPN, updated every few hours.

Who will win Independiente Santa Fe vs AD Pasto?

By market prices on Polymarket, Independiente Santa Fe is the favourite with a 62% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.

What are the odds for Independiente Santa Fe vs AD Pasto?

Independiente Santa Fe — 1.61, Draw — 4.26, AD Pasto — 3.92 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.

How have the odds for Independiente Santa Fe vs AD Pasto changed?

In the last 24 hours the chance of AD Pasto went down from 28% to 26% (odds 3.64 → 3.92): the market believes in it less.

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How we make this page

Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after kickoff. Before the game — in the app. We show losses too: how we tested 634,000 whale bets · daily predictions.

Updated 06:24 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.

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