Predictions today · Football
SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin prediction
November 8, 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Football · Bundesliga
SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin — football, Bundesliga. Kickoff November 8, 2026, 16:30 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.
Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.
No big bets by tracked wallets on this match yet. They often come in the last hours before kickoff.
Teams: SC Freiburg · 1. FC Union Berlin
Match preview
The Polymarket market makes SC Freiburg the favourite: 64% chance, odds 1.55. Odds: SC Freiburg — 1.55, Draw — 4.76, 1. FC Union Berlin — 6.45. The line has barely moved in the last 24 hours. The chances add up to 101%: the market margin is about 1.0% (bookmakers usually take 4–8%). $36 131 has already been traded on this match on Polymarket, $19 681 is waiting in the order book. Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in Bundesliga: 13, 8 won (62%). $10 on each would be +$21 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).
Questions about the match
For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans
Form and head to head
@ Bayer Leverkusen 2:1; @ AS Monaco 3:0; vs Bayern Munich 3:1LLLWW
vs SV Elversberg 1:0; vs Borussia Dortmund 0:0; @ FC Augsburg 1:1WDDLD
W — win, D — draw, L — loss; newest on the right.
Source: ESPN.
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 18 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +8 | 16 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +11 | 15 |
| 5 | Werder Bremen | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 15 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 | SV Elversberg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +0 | 13 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 11 |
| 9 | Mainz | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | +0 | 10 |
| 10 | FC Augsburg | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 | TSG Hoffenheim | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | FC Cologne | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | Hamburg SV | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -12 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 | Schalke 04 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -11 | 4 |
Source: ESPN, updated every few hours.
Who will win SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin?
By market prices on Polymarket, SC Freiburg is the favourite with a 64% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.
What are the odds for SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin?
SC Freiburg — 1.55, Draw — 4.76, 1. FC Union Berlin — 6.45 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.
Do whales win in Bundesliga?
Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in Bundesliga: 13, 8 won (62%). $10 on each would be +$21 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).
Upcoming matches of these teams
- Trabzonspor vs SC Freiburg · November 5, 2026
More Bundesliga predictions
- Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach · November 6, 2026
- SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Frankfurt · November 7, 2026
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München · November 7, 2026
- RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg · November 7, 2026
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs SV 07 Elversberg · November 7, 2026
- VfB Stuttgart vs SV Werder Bremen · November 7, 2026
- 1. FC Köln vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen · November 8, 2026
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC Schalke 04 · November 8, 2026
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How we make this page
Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after kickoff. Before the game — in the app. We show losses too: how we tested 634,000 whale bets · daily predictions.
Updated 06:23 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.
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