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Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07 prediction
November 21, 2026 · 14:30 UTC · Football · Bundesliga
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07 — football, Bundesliga. Kickoff November 21, 2026, 14:30 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.
Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.
No big bets by tracked wallets on this match yet. They often come in the last hours before kickoff.
Teams: Bayer 04 Leverkusen · SC Paderborn 07
Match preview
The Polymarket market makes Bayer 04 Leverkusen the favourite: 78% chance, odds 1.28. Odds: Bayer 04 Leverkusen — 1.28, Draw — 8.33, SC Paderborn 07 — 11.76. The line has barely moved in the last 24 hours. The chances add up to 98%: the market margin is about 0.0% (bookmakers usually take 4–8%). Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in Bundesliga: 23, 14 won (61%). $10 on each would be +$12 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).
Questions about the match
For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans
Form and head to head
@ OFI Crete 2:0; @ TSG Hoffenheim 3:0; vs 1. FC Nürnberg 5:2WLWLL
@ Werder Bremen 2:2; vs Hamburg SV 1:0; vs VfB Stuttgart 1:0DWLDD
W — win, D — draw, L — loss; newest on the right.
Source: ESPN.
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 10 | Hamburg SV | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -10 | 12 |
| 11 | Mainz | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | +0 | 9 |
| 14 | TSG Hoffenheim | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | FC Cologne | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
Source: ESPN, updated every few hours.
Who will win Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07?
By market prices on Polymarket, Bayer 04 Leverkusen is the favourite with a 78% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.
What are the odds for Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07?
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — 1.28, Draw — 8.33, SC Paderborn 07 — 11.76 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.
Do whales win in Bundesliga?
Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in Bundesliga: 23, 14 won (61%). $10 on each would be +$12 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).
Upcoming matches of these teams
- 1. FC Köln vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen · November 8, 2026
More Bundesliga predictions
- SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin · November 8, 2026
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- FC Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln · November 20, 2026
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs BV Borussia 09 Dortmund · November 21, 2026
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim · November 21, 2026
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig · November 21, 2026
- SV 07 Elversberg vs SC Freiburg · November 21, 2026
- FC Schalke 04 vs VfB Stuttgart · November 21, 2026
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How we make this page
Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after kickoff. Before the game — in the app. We show losses too: how the Smart score is counted · honest record · daily predictions.
Updated 10:57 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.
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