Predictions today · Football
São Paulo FC vs Fluminense FC prediction
November 20, 2026 · 00:30 UTC · Football · Brazil Serie A
São Paulo FC vs Fluminense FC — football, Brazil Serie A. Kickoff November 20, 2026, 00:30 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.
Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.
No big bets by tracked wallets on this match yet. They often come in the last hours before kickoff.
Teams: São Paulo FC · Fluminense FC
Match preview
The Polymarket market makes São Paulo FC the favourite: 40% chance, odds 2.47. Odds: São Paulo FC — 2.47, Draw — 3.33, Fluminense FC — 3.17. The line has barely moved in the last 24 hours. The chances add up to 102.0%: the market margin is about 2.0% (bookmakers usually take 4–8%). Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in Brazil Serie A: 28, 19 won (68%). $10 on each would be +$35 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).
For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans
Form and head to head
vs Vitória 2:1; vs Vasco da Gama 1:0; @ Mirassol 1:1WWDLD
vs Santos 2:1; @ Palmeiras 1:0; @ Chapecoense 2:1LWLWW
W — win, D — draw, L — loss; newest on the right.
Source: ESPN.
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | +42 | 76 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | +39 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | +7 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | +13 | 57 |
| 5 | Athletico Paranaense | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | +8 | 54 |
| 6 | Bahia | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | +5 | 53 |
| 7 | Atlético-MG | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | +4 | 50 |
| 8 | Red Bull Bragantino | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | +5 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | +1 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | +0 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | -7 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 | Vasco da Gama | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 41 |
Source: ESPN, updated every few hours.
Questions about the match
Who will win São Paulo FC vs Fluminense FC?
By market prices on Polymarket, São Paulo FC is the favourite with a 40% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.
What are the odds for São Paulo FC vs Fluminense FC?
São Paulo FC — 2.47, Draw — 3.33, Fluminense FC — 3.17 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.
Do whales win in Brazil Serie A?
Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in Brazil Serie A: 28, 19 won (68%). $10 on each would be +$35 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).
More Brazil Serie A predictions
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs CR Vasco da Gama · November 14, 2026
- Mirassol FC vs CA Mineiro · November 14, 2026
- Coritiba FBC vs Santos FC · November 18, 2026
- Clube do Remo vs Associação Chapecoense de Futebol · November 18, 2026
- CR Flamengo vs CA Paranaense · November 18, 2026
- Cruzeiro EC vs SE Palmeiras · November 18, 2026
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs Botafogo FR · November 19, 2026
- Grêmio FBPA vs EC Bahia · November 19, 2026
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How we make this page
Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after the game. Before it ends — in the app. We show losses too: how the Smart score is counted · honest record · daily predictions.
Updated 16:05 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.
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