Predictions today · Football
Grêmio FBPA vs EC Bahia prediction
November 19, 2026 · 00:30 UTC · Football · Brazil Serie A
Grêmio FBPA vs EC Bahia — football, Brazil Serie A. Kickoff November 19, 2026, 00:30 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.
Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.
No big bets by tracked wallets on this match yet. They often come in the last hours before kickoff.
Teams: Grêmio FBPA · EC Bahia
Match preview
The Polymarket market makes Grêmio FBPA the favourite: 42% chance, odds 2.35. Odds: Grêmio FBPA — 2.35, Draw — 3.70, EC Bahia — 3.17. The line has barely moved in the last 24 hours. The chances add up to 101.0%: the market margin is about 1.0% (bookmakers usually take 4–8%). $1,172 has already been traded on this match on Polymarket, $16,714 is waiting in the order book. Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in Brazil Serie A: 28, 19 won (68%). $10 on each would be +$35 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).
For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans
Form and head to head
@ Coritiba 1:0; vs Athletico Paranaense 2:0; vs Atlético-MG 2:0WWWLD
vs Mirassol 1:0; vs Flamengo 3:0; @ Santos 1:1WLDWL
W — win, D — draw, L — loss; newest on the right.
Source: ESPN.
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | +7 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | +13 | 57 |
| 5 | Athletico Paranaense | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | +8 | 54 |
| 6 | Bahia | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | +5 | 53 |
| 7 | Atlético-MG | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | +4 | 50 |
| 8 | Red Bull Bragantino | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | +5 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | +1 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | +0 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | -7 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 | Vasco da Gama | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 | Vitória | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 | Internacional | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -4 | 38 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | -6 | 37 |
| 18 | Grêmio | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | -9 | 37 |
| 19 | Remo | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -20 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | -35 | 21 |
Source: ESPN, updated every few hours.
Questions about the match
Who will win Grêmio FBPA vs EC Bahia?
By market prices on Polymarket, Grêmio FBPA is the favourite with a 42% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.
What are the odds for Grêmio FBPA vs EC Bahia?
Grêmio FBPA — 2.35, Draw — 3.70, EC Bahia — 3.17 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.
Do whales win in Brazil Serie A?
Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in Brazil Serie A: 28, 19 won (68%). $10 on each would be +$35 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).
More Brazil Serie A predictions
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs CR Vasco da Gama · November 14, 2026
- Mirassol FC vs CA Mineiro · November 14, 2026
- Coritiba FBC vs Santos FC · November 18, 2026
- Clube do Remo vs Associação Chapecoense de Futebol · November 18, 2026
- CR Flamengo vs CA Paranaense · November 18, 2026
- Cruzeiro EC vs SE Palmeiras · November 18, 2026
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs Botafogo FR · November 19, 2026
- EC Vitória vs Red Bull Bragantino · November 19, 2026
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How we make this page
Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after the game. Before it ends — in the app. We show losses too: how the Smart score is counted · honest record · daily predictions.
Updated 16:05 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.
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