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Predictions today · Football

SK Sturm Graz vs FC Salzburg prediction

November 8, 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Football · Austria Bundesliga

SK Sturm Graz vs FC Salzburg — football, Austria Bundesliga. Kickoff November 8, 2026, 16:00 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.

Odds and chances (Polymarket market)
SK Sturm Graz3.08 · 32%
Draw4.35 · 23%
FC Salzburg2.30 · 44%

Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.

🐋 Whale money

No big bets by tracked wallets on this match yet. They often come in the last hours before kickoff.

Teams: SK Sturm Graz · FC Salzburg

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Market in numbers
⏱ Kickoff in5 d 6 h
📈 24h moveFC Salzburg: −3 pp
⚖️ Market margin0.0%
📋 Open markets92

Match preview

The Polymarket market makes FC Salzburg the favourite: 44% chance, odds 2.30. Odds: SK Sturm Graz — 3.08, Draw — 4.35, FC Salzburg — 2.30. In the last 24 hours the chance of FC Salzburg went down from 46% to 44% (odds 2.15 → 2.30): the market believes in it less. The chances add up to 99%: the market margin is about 0.0% (bookmakers usually take 4–8%).

Questions about the match

📐 Pinnacle fair line · 🔒 Max

For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans

Form and head to head

Form: last 5 matches
SK Sturm Graz
@ AFC Bournemouth 3:0; vs Grazer AK 6:1; vs Marseille 1:0
LWWDD
FC Salzburg
vs AC Milan 4:0; vs SC Rheindorf Altach 3:0; @ NK Celje 2:2
LWDWW

W — win, D — draw, L — loss; newest on the right.

⚔️ Head to head
20.09.2026 SLZ 3 – STG 0
03.05.2026 SLZ 1 – STG 1
20.03.2026 STG 1 – SLZ 1
09.11.2025 STG 1 – SLZ 1
20.09.2025 SLZ 0 – STG 2

Source: ESPN.

Standings

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Rapid Vienna111001+2430
2RB Salzburg11830+2327
3LASK Linz11713+1322
4SK Sturm Graz11542+619
5TSV Hartberg11524+117
6SV Josko Ried11443+116
7WSG Swarovski Tirol11335-312
8Grazer AK11245-1910
9SC Rheindorf Altach11317-610
10Austria Lustenau11227-168
11Austria Vienna11218-127
12Wolfsberger11137-126

Source: ESPN, updated every few hours.

Who will win SK Sturm Graz vs FC Salzburg?

By market prices on Polymarket, FC Salzburg is the favourite with a 44% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.

What are the odds for SK Sturm Graz vs FC Salzburg?

SK Sturm Graz — 3.08, Draw — 4.35, FC Salzburg — 2.30 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.

How have the odds for SK Sturm Graz vs FC Salzburg changed?

In the last 24 hours the chance of FC Salzburg went down from 46% to 44% (odds 2.15 → 2.30): the market believes in it less.

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How we make this page

Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after kickoff. Before the game — in the app. We show losses too: how we tested 634,000 whale bets · daily predictions.

Updated 09:25 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.

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