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Predictions today · Tennis

Denis Shapovalov vs Karen Khachanov result

November 2, 2026 · 18:05 UTC · Tennis · ATP

🏁 Final result
Score3:6, 7:6(8:6), 3:1
✅ Karen Khachanov to win$4 883 · won
❌ Denis Shapovalov to win$218 · lost

Whales had $5 100 on this match before kickoff; $4 883 of it was on the winning side (96%).

Denis Shapovalov vs Karen Khachanov — tennis, ATP. Kickoff November 2, 2026, 18:05 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.

🧠 AI analyst said before the game

Khachanov is a modest favourite (about 62%) on class and serve, but the match could go to three sets. Shapovalov +1.5 sets (0.63) is roughly fair, and the set and games totals show no clear edge.

Every verdict is tracked to the result — losses included.

Odds and chances (Polymarket market)
Denis Shapovalov1.34 · 74%
Karen Khachanov3.92 · 26%

Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.

🐋 Whale money on this match

$60 147 · 25 wallets

Most of it is on Karen Khachanov to win: $44 589.

Teams: Denis Shapovalov · Karen Khachanov

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Market in numbers
🏁 Score3:6, 7:6(8:6), 3:1
📈 24h moveDenis Shapovalov: +36 pp
⚖️ Market margin0.0%
💵 Traded on Polymarket$504 877
📋 Open markets11

Match preview

The Polymarket market makes Denis Shapovalov the favourite: 74% chance, odds 1.34. Odds: Denis Shapovalov — 1.34, Karen Khachanov — 3.92. In the last 24 hours the chance of Denis Shapovalov went up from 38% to 74% (odds 2.60 → 1.34): the market believes in it more. The chances add up to 100%: the market margin is about 0.0% (bookmakers usually take 4–8%). $504 877 has already been traded on this match on Polymarket, $115 358 is waiting in the order book. Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in ATP: 81, 46 won (57%). $10 on each would be −$62 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).

Questions about the match

📐 Pinnacle fair line · 🔒 Max

For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans

How did the whales do on Denis Shapovalov vs Karen Khachanov?

Whales had $5 100 on this match before kickoff; $4 883 of it was on the winning side (96%).

Who will win Denis Shapovalov vs Karen Khachanov?

By market prices on Polymarket, Denis Shapovalov is the favourite with a 74% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.

What are the odds for Denis Shapovalov vs Karen Khachanov?

Denis Shapovalov — 1.34, Karen Khachanov — 3.92 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.

Where do the whales bet on Denis Shapovalov vs Karen Khachanov?

Tracked big wallets have put $60 147 on this match (25 wallets). The side is shown above.

How have the odds for Denis Shapovalov vs Karen Khachanov changed?

In the last 24 hours the chance of Denis Shapovalov went up from 38% to 74% (odds 2.60 → 1.34): the market believes in it more.

Do whales win in ATP?

Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in ATP: 81, 46 won (57%). $10 on each would be −$62 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).

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How we make this page

Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after kickoff. Before the game — in the app. We show losses too: how we tested 634,000 whale bets · daily predictions.

Updated 07:05 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.

All sharp signals instantly, personal whale alerts and honest stats — in the PrognosX app.

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