Predictions today · Tennis
Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat result
November 2, 2026 · 08:50 UTC · Tennis · ATP
Whales had $54 on this match before kickoff; $0 of it was on the winning side (0%).
Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat — tennis, ATP. Kickoff November 2, 2026, 08:50 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.
Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.
$18 951 · 7 wallets
Most of it is on Jan Kumstat to win: $18 897.
Teams: Joel Schwaerzler · Jan Kumstat
Match preview
The Polymarket market makes Jan Kumstat the favourite: 70% chance, odds 1.43. Odds: Joel Schwaerzler — 3.33, Jan Kumstat — 1.43. In the last 24 hours the chance of Joel Schwaerzler went down from 50% to 30% (odds 2.00 → 3.33): the market believes in it less. The chances add up to 100%: the market margin is about 0.0% (bookmakers usually take 4–8%). $120 971 has already been traded on this match on Polymarket, $151 041 is waiting in the order book. Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in ATP: 81, 46 won (57%). $10 on each would be −$62 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).
Questions about the match
For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans
How did the whales do on Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat?
Whales had $54 on this match before kickoff; $0 of it was on the winning side (0%).
Who will win Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat?
By market prices on Polymarket, Jan Kumstat is the favourite with a 70% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.
What are the odds for Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat?
Joel Schwaerzler — 3.33, Jan Kumstat — 1.43 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.
Where do the whales bet on Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat?
Tracked big wallets have put $18 951 on this match (7 wallets). The side is shown above.
How have the odds for Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat changed?
In the last 24 hours the chance of Joel Schwaerzler went down from 50% to 30% (odds 2.00 → 3.33): the market believes in it less.
Do whales win in ATP?
Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in ATP: 81, 46 won (57%). $10 on each would be −$62 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).
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How we make this page
Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after kickoff. Before the game — in the app. We show losses too: how we tested 634,000 whale bets · daily predictions.
Updated 08:58 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.
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