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Predictions today · Tennis

Mattia Bellucci vs Lorenzo Sonego result

November 2, 2026 · 15:05 UTC · Tennis · ATP

🏁 Final result
Score6:4, 4:3
❌ Lorenzo Sonego to win$2 379 · lost
✅ Mattia Bellucci · Game Spread: Mattia Bellucci (-1.5) vs Lorenzo Sonego (+1.5)$22 · won

Whales had $2 401 on this match before kickoff; $22 of it was on the winning side (1%).

Mattia Bellucci vs Lorenzo Sonego — tennis, ATP. Kickoff November 2, 2026, 15:05 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.

Odds and chances (Polymarket market)
Mattia Bellucci1.07 · 93%
Lorenzo Sonego14.81 · 7%

Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.

🐋 Whale money on this match

$13 981 · 14 wallets

Most of it is on Lorenzo Sonego to win: $10 869.

Teams: Mattia Bellucci · Lorenzo Sonego

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Market in numbers
🏁 Score6:4, 4:3
⚖️ Market margin0.0%
💵 Traded on Polymarket$144 344
📋 Open markets12

Match preview

The Polymarket market makes Mattia Bellucci the favourite: 93% chance, odds 1.07. Odds: Mattia Bellucci — 1.07, Lorenzo Sonego — 14.81. The line has barely moved in the last 24 hours. The chances add up to 100%: the market margin is about 0.0% (bookmakers usually take 4–8%). $144 344 has already been traded on this match on Polymarket, $264 269 is waiting in the order book. Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in ATP: 81, 46 won (57%). $10 on each would be −$62 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).

Questions about the match

📐 Pinnacle fair line · 🔒 Max

For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans

How did the whales do on Mattia Bellucci vs Lorenzo Sonego?

Whales had $2 401 on this match before kickoff; $22 of it was on the winning side (1%).

Who will win Mattia Bellucci vs Lorenzo Sonego?

By market prices on Polymarket, Mattia Bellucci is the favourite with a 93% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.

What are the odds for Mattia Bellucci vs Lorenzo Sonego?

Mattia Bellucci — 1.07, Lorenzo Sonego — 14.81 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.

Where do the whales bet on Mattia Bellucci vs Lorenzo Sonego?

Tracked big wallets have put $13 981 on this match (14 wallets). The side is shown above.

Do whales win in ATP?

Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in ATP: 81, 46 won (57%). $10 on each would be −$62 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).

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How we make this page

Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after kickoff. Before the game — in the app. We show losses too: how we tested 634,000 whale bets · daily predictions.

Updated 05:41 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.

All sharp signals instantly, personal whale alerts and honest stats — in the PrognosX app.

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