Carlos Alcaraz vs Flavio Cobolli prediction

November 17, 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Tennis · ATP

Carlos Alcaraz vs Flavio Cobolli — tennis, ATP. Kickoff November 17, 2026, 13:00 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.

Odds and chances (Polymarket market)

Carlos Alcaraz1.41 · 71%

Flavio Cobolli3.45 · 29%

Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.

🐋 Whale money

No big bets by tracked wallets on this match yet. They often come in the last hours before kickoff.

Teams: Carlos Alcaraz · Flavio Cobolli

Open the match in the app

Market in numbers

⏱ Kickoff in2 d 11 h

⚖️ Market margin0.0%

💵 Traded on Polymarket$4,148

📋 Open markets9

Match preview

The Polymarket market makes Carlos Alcaraz the favourite: 71% chance, odds 1.41. Odds: Carlos Alcaraz — 1.41, Flavio Cobolli — 3.45. The line has barely moved in the last 24 hours. The chances add up to 100.0%: the market margin is about 0.0% (bookmakers usually take 4–8%). $4,148 has already been traded on this match on Polymarket. Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in ATP: 282, 166 won (59%). $10 on each would be +$130 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).

📐 Pinnacle fair line · 🔒 Max

For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans

Questions about the match

Who will win Carlos Alcaraz vs Flavio Cobolli?

By market prices on Polymarket, Carlos Alcaraz is the favourite with a 71% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.

What are the odds for Carlos Alcaraz vs Flavio Cobolli?

Carlos Alcaraz — 1.41, Flavio Cobolli — 3.45 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.

Do whales win in ATP?

Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in ATP: 282, 166 won (59%). $10 on each would be +$130 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).

Upcoming matches of these teams

Carlos Alcaraz vs Frances Tiafoe · November 16, 2026
Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli · November 16, 2026
Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev · November 17, 2026
Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoe · November 17, 2026

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How we make this page

Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after the game. Before it ends — in the app. We show losses too: how the Smart score is counted · honest record · daily predictions.

Updated 01:44 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.

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