Predictions today · Tennis
Alan Magadan vs Valerio Aboian result
November 3, 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Tennis · ATP
Whales had $25 on this match before kickoff; $0 of it was on the winning side (0%).
Alan Magadan vs Valerio Aboian — tennis, ATP. Kickoff November 3, 2026, 17:30 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.
Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.
$982 · 2 wallets
Most of it is on Alan Magadan vence: $778.
Teams: Alan Magadan · Valerio Aboian
Match preview
The Polymarket market makes Valerio Aboian the favourite: 98% chance, odds 1.02. Odds: Alan Magadan — 50.00, Valerio Aboian — 1.02. In the last 24 hours the chance of Alan Magadan went down from 32% to 2% (odds 3.08 → 50.00): the market believes in it less. The chances add up to 100%: the market margin is about 0.0% (bookmakers usually take 4–8%). $43 245 has already been traded on this match on Polymarket, $95 845 is waiting in the order book. Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in ATP: 90, 51 won (57%). $10 on each would be −$72 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).
Questions about the match
For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans
How did the whales do on Alan Magadan vs Valerio Aboian?
Whales had $25 on this match before kickoff; $0 of it was on the winning side (0%).
Who will win Alan Magadan vs Valerio Aboian?
By market prices on Polymarket, Valerio Aboian is the favourite with a 98% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.
What are the odds for Alan Magadan vs Valerio Aboian?
Alan Magadan — 50.00, Valerio Aboian — 1.02 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.
Where do the whales bet on Alan Magadan vs Valerio Aboian?
Tracked big wallets have put $982 on this match (2 wallets). The side is shown above.
How have the odds for Alan Magadan vs Valerio Aboian changed?
In the last 24 hours the chance of Alan Magadan went down from 32% to 2% (odds 3.08 → 50.00): the market believes in it less.
Do whales win in ATP?
Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in ATP: 90, 51 won (57%). $10 on each would be −$72 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).
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How we make this page
Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after kickoff. Before the game — in the app. We show losses too: how we tested 634,000 whale bets · daily predictions.
Updated 01:57 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.
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