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Predictions today · Tennis

Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac prediction

November 4, 2026 · 19:30 UTC · Tennis · ATP

Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac — tennis, ATP. Kickoff November 4, 2026, 19:30 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.

Odds and chances (Polymarket market)
Arthur Fils1.60 · 62%
Tomas Machac2.67 · 38%

Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.

🐋 Whale money on this match

$104 · 1 wallets

Which side — in the app (Pro) or here after the game.

Teams: Arthur Fils · Tomas Machac

Open the match in the app

Market in numbers
⏱ Kickoff in19 h 28 min
⚖️ Market margin0.0%
💵 Traded on Polymarket$9 364
📋 Open markets17

Match preview

The Polymarket market makes Arthur Fils the favourite: 62% chance, odds 1.60. Odds: Arthur Fils — 1.60, Tomas Machac — 2.67. The line has barely moved in the last 24 hours. The chances add up to 100%: the market margin is about 0.0% (bookmakers usually take 4–8%). $9 364 has already been traded on this match on Polymarket, $174 311 is waiting in the order book. Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in ATP: 90, 51 won (57%). $10 on each would be −$72 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).

Questions about the match

📐 Pinnacle fair line · 🔒 Max

For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans

Who will win Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac?

By market prices on Polymarket, Arthur Fils is the favourite with a 62% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.

What are the odds for Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac?

Arthur Fils — 1.60, Tomas Machac — 2.67 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.

Where do the whales bet on Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac?

Tracked big wallets have put $104 on this match (1 wallets). Which side — in the PrognosX app, or on this page after the game.

Do whales win in ATP?

Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in ATP: 90, 51 won (57%). $10 on each would be −$72 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).

More ATP predictions

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How we make this page

Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after kickoff. Before the game — in the app. We show losses too: how we tested 634,000 whale bets · daily predictions.

Updated 00:01 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.

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