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Predictions today · Tennis

Thiago Cigarran vs Hernan Casanova result

November 3, 2026 · 16:20 UTC · Tennis · ATP

🏁 Final result
Score6:1, 5:7, 4:5
✅ Hernan Casanova to win$80 · won

Whales had $80 on this match before kickoff; $80 of it was on the winning side (100%).

Thiago Cigarran vs Hernan Casanova — tennis, ATP. Kickoff November 3, 2026, 16:20 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.

🧠 AI analyst said before the game

Casanova likely wins, probably in straight sets

Every verdict is tracked to the result — losses included.

Odds and chances (Polymarket market)
Thiago Cigarran9.52 · 10%
Hernan Casanova1.12 · 90%

Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.

🐋 Whale money on this match

$16 608 · 8 wallets

Most of it is on Thiago Cigarran to win: $12 796.

Teams: Thiago Cigarran · Hernan Casanova

Open the match in the app

Market in numbers
🏁 Score6:1, 5:7, 4:5
📈 24h moveThiago Cigarran: −12 pp
⚖️ Market margin0.0%
💵 Traded on Polymarket$57 436
📋 Open markets3

Match preview

The Polymarket market makes Hernan Casanova the favourite: 90% chance, odds 1.12. Odds: Thiago Cigarran — 9.52, Hernan Casanova — 1.12. In the last 24 hours the chance of Thiago Cigarran went down from 22% to 10% (odds 4.55 → 9.52): the market believes in it less. The chances add up to 100%: the market margin is about 0.0% (bookmakers usually take 4–8%). $57 436 has already been traded on this match on Polymarket, $180 392 is waiting in the order book. Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in ATP: 90, 51 won (57%). $10 on each would be −$72 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).

Questions about the match

📐 Pinnacle fair line · 🔒 Max

For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans

How did the whales do on Thiago Cigarran vs Hernan Casanova?

Whales had $80 on this match before kickoff; $80 of it was on the winning side (100%).

Who will win Thiago Cigarran vs Hernan Casanova?

By market prices on Polymarket, Hernan Casanova is the favourite with a 90% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.

What are the odds for Thiago Cigarran vs Hernan Casanova?

Thiago Cigarran — 9.52, Hernan Casanova — 1.12 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.

Where do the whales bet on Thiago Cigarran vs Hernan Casanova?

Tracked big wallets have put $16 608 on this match (8 wallets). The side is shown above.

How have the odds for Thiago Cigarran vs Hernan Casanova changed?

In the last 24 hours the chance of Thiago Cigarran went down from 22% to 10% (odds 4.55 → 9.52): the market believes in it less.

Do whales win in ATP?

Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in ATP: 90, 51 won (57%). $10 on each would be −$72 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).

More ATP predictions

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How we make this page

Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after kickoff. Before the game — in the app. We show losses too: how we tested 634,000 whale bets · daily predictions.

Updated 00:03 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.

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