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Predictions today · Football

CA Progreso vs Defensor Sporting result

November 1, 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Football · Primera División (Uruguay)

CA Progreso vs Defensor Sporting — football, Primera División (Uruguay). Kickoff November 1, 2026, 13:00 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.

Odds and chances (Polymarket market)
CA Progreso10.53 · 10%
Draw2.06 · 48%
Defensor Sporting1.39 · 72%

Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.

🐋 Whale money

No big bets by tracked wallets on this match yet. They often come in the last hours before kickoff.

Teams: CA Progreso · Defensor Sporting

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Market in numbers
📈 24h moveDefensor Sporting: +38 pp
💵 Traded on Polymarket$2 906
📋 Open markets89

Match preview

The Polymarket market makes Defensor Sporting the favourite: 72% chance, odds 1.39. Odds: CA Progreso — 10.53, Draw — 2.06, Defensor Sporting — 1.39. In the last 24 hours the chance of Defensor Sporting went up from 34% to 72% (odds 2.90 → 1.39): the market believes in it more. $2 906 has already been traded on this match on Polymarket, $7 346 is waiting in the order book.

Questions about the match

📐 Pinnacle fair line · 🔒 Max

For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans

Who will win CA Progreso vs Defensor Sporting?

By market prices on Polymarket, Defensor Sporting is the favourite with a 72% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.

What are the odds for CA Progreso vs Defensor Sporting?

CA Progreso — 10.53, Draw — 2.06, Defensor Sporting — 1.39 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.

How have the odds for CA Progreso vs Defensor Sporting changed?

In the last 24 hours the chance of Defensor Sporting went up from 34% to 72% (odds 2.90 → 1.39): the market believes in it more.

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How we make this page

Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after kickoff. Before the game — in the app. We show losses too: how we tested 634,000 whale bets · daily predictions.

Updated 04:45 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.

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