Predictions today · Football
UD Ourense vs Merida AD prediction
November 14, 2026 · 15:30 UTC · Football · Primera Federación
UD Ourense vs Merida AD — football, Primera Federación. Kickoff November 14, 2026, 15:30 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.
Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.
No big bets by tracked wallets on this match yet. They often come in the last hours before kickoff.
Teams: UD Ourense · Merida AD
Match preview
The Polymarket market makes Draw the favourite: 52% chance, odds 1.92. Odds: UD Ourense — 2.86, Draw — 1.92, Merida AD — 2.47. In the last 24 hours the chance of UD Ourense went down from 44% to 35% (odds 2.30 → 2.86): the market believes in it less.
Questions about the match
For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans
Who will win UD Ourense vs Merida AD?
By market prices on Polymarket, Draw is the favourite with a 52% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.
What are the odds for UD Ourense vs Merida AD?
UD Ourense — 2.86, Draw — 1.92, Merida AD — 2.47 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.
How have the odds for UD Ourense vs Merida AD changed?
In the last 24 hours the chance of UD Ourense went down from 44% to 35% (odds 2.30 → 2.86): the market believes in it less.
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How we make this page
Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after kickoff. Before the game — in the app. We show losses too: how the Smart score is counted · honest record · daily predictions.
Updated 20:59 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.
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