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Predictions today · Football

Derby County FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC prediction

November 6, 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Football · EFL Championship

Derby County FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC — football, EFL Championship. Kickoff November 6, 2026, 20:00 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.

Odds and chances (Polymarket market)
Derby County FC2.33 · 43%
Draw3.77 · 26%
Bolton Wanderers FC3.03 · 33%

Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.

🐋 Whale money

No big bets by tracked wallets on this match yet. They often come in the last hours before kickoff.

Teams: Derby County FC · Bolton Wanderers FC

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Market in numbers
⏱ Kickoff in3 d 11 h
⚖️ Market margin2.5%
💵 Traded on Polymarket$37 361
📋 Open markets92

Match preview

The Polymarket market makes Derby County FC the favourite: 43% chance, odds 2.33. Odds: Derby County FC — 2.33, Draw — 3.77, Bolton Wanderers FC — 3.03. The line has barely moved in the last 24 hours. The chances add up to 102%: the market margin is about 2.5% (bookmakers usually take 4–8%). $37 361 has already been traded on this match on Polymarket, $3 300 is waiting in the order book.

Questions about the match

📐 Pinnacle fair line · 🔒 Max

For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans

Form and head to head

Form: last 5 matches
Derby County FC
vs Wrexham 1:1; @ Queens Park Rangers 4:1; vs Stoke City 1:0
DLLDL
Bolton Wanderers FC
vs Stoke City 2:1; @ Wolverhampton Wanderers 3:1; @ Southampton 0:0
LWDLL

W — win, D — draw, L — loss; newest on the right.

⚔️ Head to head
16.03.2024 DER 1 – BOL 0
02.09.2023 BOL 2 – DER 1
21.01.2023 DER 2 – BOL 1
27.12.2022 BOL 0 – DER 0
13.04.2019 DER 4 – BOL 0

Source: ESPN.

Standings

#TeamPWDLGDPts
16Lincoln City13436-915
17Cardiff City13355-114
18Wrexham13355-414
19Bolton Wanderers13427-814
20Charlton Athletic13355-1014
21Watford13328-1111
22Burnley13166-89
23Derby County13148-147
24Preston North End131210-175

Source: ESPN, updated every few hours.

Who will win Derby County FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC?

By market prices on Polymarket, Derby County FC is the favourite with a 43% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.

What are the odds for Derby County FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC?

Derby County FC — 2.33, Draw — 3.77, Bolton Wanderers FC — 3.03 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.

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How we make this page

Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after kickoff. Before the game — in the app. We show losses too: how we tested 634,000 whale bets · daily predictions.

Updated 08:51 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.

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