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SD Aucas vs CSD Independiente del Valle prediction
November 8, 2026 · 18:45 UTC · Football · LigaPro Primera A
SD Aucas vs CSD Independiente del Valle — football, LigaPro Primera A. Kickoff November 8, 2026, 18:45 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.
Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.
No big bets by tracked wallets on this match yet. They often come in the last hours before kickoff.
Teams: SD Aucas · CSD Independiente del Valle
Match preview
The Polymarket market makes CSD Independiente del Valle the favourite: 44% chance, odds 2.30. Odds: SD Aucas — 3.39, Draw — 3.77, CSD Independiente del Valle — 2.30. In the last 24 hours the chance of Draw went down from 50% to 26% (odds 1.98 → 3.77): the market believes in it less. The chances add up to 100%: the market margin is about 0.0% (bookmakers usually take 4–8%).
Questions about the match
For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans
Form and head to head
vs Macará 2:1; @ Independiente del Valle 2:1; vs Liga de Quito 1:1LLDLW
@ Flamengo 1:1; vs Aucas 2:1; @ Macará 1:0DWLDW
W — win, D — draw, L — loss; newest on the right.
Source: ESPN.
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 34 | 26 | 3 | 5 | +42 | 81 |
| 2 | Macará | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | +15 | 66 |
| 3 | Aucas | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | +0 | 54 |
| 4 | Universidad Católica (Quito) | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | +21 | 53 |
| 5 | Liga de Quito | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | +6 | 53 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | +7 | 48 |
Source: ESPN, updated every few hours.
Who will win SD Aucas vs CSD Independiente del Valle?
By market prices on Polymarket, CSD Independiente del Valle is the favourite with a 44% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.
What are the odds for SD Aucas vs CSD Independiente del Valle?
SD Aucas — 3.39, Draw — 3.77, CSD Independiente del Valle — 2.30 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.
How have the odds for SD Aucas vs CSD Independiente del Valle changed?
In the last 24 hours the chance of Draw went down from 50% to 26% (odds 1.98 → 3.77): the market believes in it less.
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How we make this page
Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after kickoff. Before the game — in the app. We show losses too: how we tested 634,000 whale bets · daily predictions.
Updated 02:10 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.
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