Predictions today · Football
Independiente Medellín vs Alianza FC result
November 1, 2026 · 23:10 UTC · Football · Colombia Primera A
Independiente Medellín vs Alianza FC — football, Colombia Primera A. Kickoff November 1, 2026, 23:10 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.
Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.
$1 563 · 9 wallets
Most of it is on Independiente Medellín vs. Alianza FC end in a draw — NO (betting it won't happen): $762.
Teams: Independiente Medellín · Alianza FC
Match preview
The Polymarket market makes Draw the favourite: 76% chance, odds 1.31. Odds: Independiente Medellín — 8.00, Draw — 1.31, Alianza FC — 8.33. In the last 24 hours the chance of Draw went up from 22% to 76% (odds 4.44 → 1.31): the market believes in it more. The chances add up to 101%: the market margin is about 1.0% (bookmakers usually take 4–8%). $84 604 has already been traded on this match on Polymarket, $116 515 is waiting in the order book.
Questions about the match
For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans
Form and head to head
@ América de Cali 2:1; @ Atlético Nacional 3:2; vs Once Caldas 2:0WLLLL
@ Deportivo Cali 3:1; vs Águilas Doradas 2:2; @ Deportivo Pasto 1:0LDWWL
W — win, D — draw, L — loss; newest on the right.
Source: ESPN.
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Atlético Bucaramanga | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | +9 | 28 |
| 5 | Independiente Santa Fe | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 28 |
| 6 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | +10 | 26 |
| 7 | Independiente Medellín | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | +0 | 26 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | +3 | 24 |
| 9 | Águilas Doradas | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | +1 | 22 |
| 10 | Cúcuta Deportivo | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | -6 | 21 |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 20 |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogotá | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | -2 | 20 |
| 13 | Llaneros FC | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | -4 | 20 |
| 14 | Alianza FC | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | -12 | 18 |
| 15 | Deportivo Pereira | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | -7 | 17 |
| 16 | Atlético Junior | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | -4 | 16 |
| 17 | Boyacá Chicó FC | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -15 | 16 |
Source: ESPN, updated every few hours.
Who will win Independiente Medellín vs Alianza FC?
By market prices on Polymarket, Draw is the favourite with a 76% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.
What are the odds for Independiente Medellín vs Alianza FC?
Independiente Medellín — 8.00, Draw — 1.31, Alianza FC — 8.33 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.
Where do the whales bet on Independiente Medellín vs Alianza FC?
Tracked big wallets have put $1 563 on this match (9 wallets). The side is shown above.
How have the odds for Independiente Medellín vs Alianza FC changed?
In the last 24 hours the chance of Draw went up from 22% to 76% (odds 4.44 → 1.31): the market believes in it more.
Upcoming matches of these teams
- Fortaleza FC vs Independiente Medellín · November 7, 2026
- Alianza FC vs Llaneros FC · November 9, 2026
More Colombia Primera A predictions
- Deportivo Pereira vs CD Tolima · November 3, 2026
- AD Pasto vs Jaguares de Córdoba FC · November 3, 2026
- Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs Independiente Santa Fe · November 4, 2026
- Millonarios FC vs América de Cali · November 5, 2026
- Boyacá Chicó FC vs Internacional de Bogotá · November 6, 2026
- Once Caldas vs Águilas Doradas Rionegro · November 7, 2026
- Atlético Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira · November 7, 2026
- América de Cali vs AD Cali · November 8, 2026
More matches
- Villarreal CF vs Paris Saint-Germain FC · November 3, 2026
- FC Barcelona vs Aston Villa FC · November 3, 2026
- AEK vs Real Madrid CF · November 4, 2026
- Manchester United FC vs AS Roma · November 3, 2026
How we make this page
Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after kickoff. Before the game — in the app. We show losses too: how we tested 634,000 whale bets · daily predictions.
Updated 04:08 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.
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