Predictions today · Basketball
Troy Trojans vs Valparaiso Beacons prediction
November 22, 2026 · 01:00 UTC · Basketball · NCAA
Troy Trojans vs Valparaiso Beacons — basketball, NCAA. Kickoff November 22, 2026, 01:00 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.
Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.
No big bets by tracked wallets on this match yet. They often come in the last hours before kickoff.
Teams: Troy Trojans · Valparaiso Beacons
Match preview
The Polymarket market makes Valparaiso Beacons the favourite: 64% chance, odds 1.55. Odds: Troy Trojans — 2.82, Valparaiso Beacons — 1.55. In the last 24 hours the chance of Troy Trojans went down from 38% to 36% (odds 2.60 → 2.82): the market believes in it less. The chances add up to 100.0%: the market margin is about 0.0% (bookmakers usually take 4–8%). Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in NCAA: 73, 46 won (63%). $10 on each would be +$100 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).
For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans
Questions about the match
Who will win Troy Trojans vs Valparaiso Beacons?
By market prices on Polymarket, Valparaiso Beacons is the favourite with a 64% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.
What are the odds for Troy Trojans vs Valparaiso Beacons?
Troy Trojans — 2.82, Valparaiso Beacons — 1.55 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.
How have the odds for Troy Trojans vs Valparaiso Beacons changed?
In the last 24 hours the chance of Troy Trojans went down from 38% to 36% (odds 2.60 → 2.82): the market believes in it less.
Do whales win in NCAA?
Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in NCAA: 73, 46 won (63%). $10 on each would be +$100 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).
Upcoming matches of these teams
- Valparaiso Beacons vs Toledo Rockets · November 15, 2026
- Calumet College Crimson Wave vs Valparaiso Beacons · November 17, 2026
- Troy Trojans vs LSU Tigers · November 17, 2026
- CSUN Matadors vs Troy Trojans · November 18, 2026
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How we make this page
Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after the game. Before it ends — in the app. We show losses too: how the Smart score is counted · honest record · daily predictions.
Updated 04:00 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.
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