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Predictions today · Football

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel result

November 1, 2026 · 12:30 UTC · Football · Bundesliga 2

🏁 Final result
Score1:0
❌ SpVgg Greuther Fürth NOT to win$125 · lost
✅ Holstein Kiel NOT to win$64 · won

Whales had $189 on this match before kickoff; $64 of it was on the winning side (34%).

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel — football, Bundesliga 2. Kickoff November 1, 2026, 12:30 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.

Odds and chances (Polymarket market)
SpVgg Greuther Fürth1.14 · 88%
Draw8.70 · 12%
Holstein Kiel66.67 · 2%

Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.

🐋 Whale money on this match

$175 · 2 wallets

Most of it is on SpVgg Greuther Fürth NOT to win: $125.

Teams: SpVgg Greuther Fürth · Holstein Kiel

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Market in numbers
🏁 Score1:0
📈 24h moveSpVgg Greuther Fürth: +50 pp
⚖️ Market margin0.5%
💵 Traded on Polymarket$95 418
📋 Open markets212

Match preview

The Polymarket market makes SpVgg Greuther Fürth the favourite: 88% chance, odds 1.14. Odds: SpVgg Greuther Fürth — 1.14, Draw — 8.70, Holstein Kiel — 66.67. In the last 24 hours the chance of SpVgg Greuther Fürth went up from 38% to 88% (odds 2.63 → 1.14): the market believes in it more. The chances add up to 100%: the market margin is about 0.5% (bookmakers usually take 4–8%). $95 418 has already been traded on this match on Polymarket, $142 123 is waiting in the order book.

Questions about the match

📐 Pinnacle fair line · 🔒 Max

For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans

Form and head to head

Form: last 5 matches
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
vs 1. FC Magdeburg 1:1; @ VfB Stuttgart 5:0; @ Hertha Berlin 2:1
DLLWL
Holstein Kiel
vs Viborg FF 3:1; @ TSV Eintracht Braunschweig 1:0; vs Hertha Berlin 0:0
WLDWW

W — win, D — draw, L — loss; newest on the right.

⚔️ Head to head
31.01.2026 KSV 1 – SGF 2
24.08.2025 SGF 0 – KSV 2
05.08.2023 KSV 2 – SGF 1
28.01.2023 KSV 2 – SGF 1
16.07.2022 SGF 2 – KSV 2

Source: ESPN.

Standings

#TeamPWDLGDPts
61. FC Heidenheim 184610433-115
7Arminia Bielefeld10424+114
8St. Pauli10262+012
9SpVgg Greuther Fürth10334-312
10VfL Osnabruck10325-311
11VfL Bochum10325-311
12Hannover 9610325-611
13Karlsruher SC10325-811
14Energie Cottbus10244-210
15TSV Eintracht Braunschweig10316-210
16SV Darmstadt 9810235-109
17Holstein Kiel10154-28
18Dynamo Dresden10226-88

Source: ESPN, updated every few hours.

How did the whales do on SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel?

Whales had $189 on this match before kickoff; $64 of it was on the winning side (34%).

Who will win SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel?

By market prices on Polymarket, SpVgg Greuther Fürth is the favourite with a 88% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.

What are the odds for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel?

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — 1.14, Draw — 8.70, Holstein Kiel — 66.67 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.

Where do the whales bet on SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel?

Tracked big wallets have put $175 on this match (2 wallets). The side is shown above.

How have the odds for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel changed?

In the last 24 hours the chance of SpVgg Greuther Fürth went up from 38% to 88% (odds 2.63 → 1.14): the market believes in it more.

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How we make this page

Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after kickoff. Before the game — in the app. We show losses too: how we tested 634,000 whale bets · daily predictions.

Updated 04:46 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.

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