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Predictions today · Football

Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC prediction

November 8, 2026 · 06:00 UTC · Football · Australian A-League

Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — football, Australian A-League. Kickoff November 8, 2026, 06:00 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.

Odds and chances (Polymarket market)
Adelaide United FC2.99 · 34%
Draw3.85 · 26%
Melbourne Victory FC2.50 · 40%

Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.

🐋 Whale money

No big bets by tracked wallets on this match yet. They often come in the last hours before kickoff.

Teams: Adelaide United FC · Melbourne Victory FC

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Market in numbers
⏱ Kickoff in4 d 23 h
⚖️ Market margin0.0%
📋 Open markets92

Match preview

The Polymarket market makes Melbourne Victory FC the favourite: 40% chance, odds 2.50. Odds: Adelaide United FC — 2.99, Draw — 3.85, Melbourne Victory FC — 2.50. The line has barely moved in the last 24 hours. The chances add up to 100%: the market margin is about 0.0% (bookmakers usually take 4–8%).

Questions about the match

📐 Pinnacle fair line · 🔒 Max

For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans

Form and head to head

Form: last 5 matches
Adelaide United FC
@ Perth Glory FC 3:1; @ BG Pathum United 2:1; @ Sydney FC 2:1
WWLLL
Melbourne Victory FC
vs FC Seoul 3:0; @ Wellington Phoenix 2:1; vs Melbourne City FC 1:1
WLDLD

W — win, D — draw, L — loss; newest on the right.

⚔️ Head to head
27.02.2026 MBV 1 – ADL 1
17.01.2026 ADL 2 – MBV 1
13.12.2025 MBV 2 – ADL 1
29.03.2025 MBV 5 – ADL 3
18.01.2025 ADL 3 – MBV 2

Source: ESPN.

Standings

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Wellington Phoenix3300+69
2Western Sydney Wanderers FC3120+35
3Macarthur FC3120+15
4Brisbane Roar FC2110+14
5Sydney FC3111+04
6Auckland FC3111-14
7Melbourne City FC3111-14
8Perth Glory FC3102+23
9Melbourne Victory3021-12
10Central Coast Mariners FC3021-22
11Newcastle Jets3021-32
12Adelaide United FC2002-50

Source: ESPN, updated every few hours.

Who will win Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC?

By market prices on Polymarket, Melbourne Victory FC is the favourite with a 40% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.

What are the odds for Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC?

Adelaide United FC — 2.99, Draw — 3.85, Melbourne Victory FC — 2.50 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.

More Australian A-League predictions

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How we make this page

Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after kickoff. Before the game — in the app. We show losses too: how we tested 634,000 whale bets · daily predictions.

Updated 06:19 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.

All sharp signals instantly, personal whale alerts and honest stats — in the PrognosX app.

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