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Predictions today · Tennis

Cameron Norrie vs Matteo Arnaldi result

November 2, 2026 · 13:50 UTC · Tennis · ATP

🏁 Final result
Score6:4, 1:6, 5:2
❌ Total under 22.5$35 · lost
✅ Cameron Norrie to win$20 · won

Whales had $55 on this match before kickoff; $20 of it was on the winning side (36%).

Cameron Norrie vs Matteo Arnaldi — tennis, ATP. Kickoff November 2, 2026, 13:50 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.

🧠 AI analyst said before the game

Norrie is most likely to win in two or three sets, with the market and bookmakers agreeing at about 70%, so there is no clear edge on the underdog. Handicap Norrie -1.5 is roughly a coin flip, and total under 22.5 games leans slightly, but the H2H scores are missing from the data.

Every verdict is tracked to the result — losses included.

Odds and chances (Polymarket market)
Cameron Norrie1.05 · 96%
Matteo Arnaldi22.22 · 4%

Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.

🐋 Whale money on this match

$24 677 · 11 wallets

Most of it is on Matteo Arnaldi to win: $17 966.

Teams: Cameron Norrie · Matteo Arnaldi

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Market in numbers
🏁 Score6:4, 1:6, 5:2
📈 24h moveCameron Norrie: +28 pp
⚖️ Market margin0.0%
💵 Traded on Polymarket$333 917
📋 Open markets12

Match preview

The Polymarket market makes Cameron Norrie the favourite: 96% chance, odds 1.05. Odds: Cameron Norrie — 1.05, Matteo Arnaldi — 22.22. In the last 24 hours the chance of Cameron Norrie went up from 68% to 96% (odds 1.48 → 1.05): the market believes in it more. The chances add up to 100%: the market margin is about 0.0% (bookmakers usually take 4–8%). $333 917 has already been traded on this match on Polymarket, $226 099 is waiting in the order book. Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in ATP: 81, 46 won (57%). $10 on each would be −$62 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).

Questions about the match

📐 Pinnacle fair line · 🔒 Max

For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans

How did the whales do on Cameron Norrie vs Matteo Arnaldi?

Whales had $55 on this match before kickoff; $20 of it was on the winning side (36%).

Who will win Cameron Norrie vs Matteo Arnaldi?

By market prices on Polymarket, Cameron Norrie is the favourite with a 96% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.

What are the odds for Cameron Norrie vs Matteo Arnaldi?

Cameron Norrie — 1.05, Matteo Arnaldi — 22.22 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.

Where do the whales bet on Cameron Norrie vs Matteo Arnaldi?

Tracked big wallets have put $24 677 on this match (11 wallets). The side is shown above.

How have the odds for Cameron Norrie vs Matteo Arnaldi changed?

In the last 24 hours the chance of Cameron Norrie went up from 68% to 96% (odds 1.48 → 1.05): the market believes in it more.

Do whales win in ATP?

Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in ATP: 81, 46 won (57%). $10 on each would be −$62 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).

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How we make this page

Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after kickoff. Before the game — in the app. We show losses too: how we tested 634,000 whale bets · daily predictions.

Updated 03:23 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.

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