Predictions today · Tennis

Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz result

November 1, 2026 · 13:10 UTC · Tennis · ATP

Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz — tennis, ATP. Kickoff November 1, 2026, 13:10 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.

Teams: Alex de Minaur · Carlos Alcaraz

Open the match in the app

Match preview

The Polymarket market makes Carlos Alcaraz the favourite: 93% chance, odds 1.08. Odds: Alex de Minaur — 13.42, Carlos Alcaraz — 1.08. The line has barely moved in the last 24 hours. The chances add up to 100%: the market margin is about 0.0% (bookmakers usually take 4–8%). $410 789 has already been traded on this match on Polymarket, $292 693 is waiting in the order book. Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in ATP: 81, 46 won (57%). $10 on each would be −$62 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).

Questions about the match

How did the whales do on Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz?

Whales had $1 615 on this match before kickoff; $44 of it was on the winning side (3%).

Who will win Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz?

By market prices on Polymarket, Carlos Alcaraz is the favourite with a 93% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.

What are the odds for Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz?

Alex de Minaur — 13.42, Carlos Alcaraz — 1.08 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.

Where do the whales bet on Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz?

Tracked big wallets have put $4 543 on this match (7 wallets). The side is shown above.

Do whales win in ATP?

Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in ATP: 81, 46 won (57%). $10 on each would be −$62 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).

More ATP predictions

• Kuan-Shou Chen vs Billy Harris · November 3, 2026
• Tommy Paul vs Holger Rune · November 3, 2026
• Keegan Smith vs Jake Delaney · November 3, 2026
• Philip Henning vs Calvin Hemery · November 3, 2026
• Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Lorenzo Giustino · November 3, 2026
• Jan-Lennard Struff vs Arthur Gea · November 3, 2026
• Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Ficovich · November 4, 2026
• Facundo Acosta vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida · November 3, 2026

More matches

• Jil Teichmann vs Joanna Garland · November 3, 2026
• Leylah Fernandez vs Sofia Kenin · November 4, 2026
• Moyuka Uchijima vs Rebecca Sramkova · November 3, 2026
• Ayano Shimizu vs Minami Suzuki · November 3, 2026

How we make this page

Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after kickoff. Before the game — in the app. We show losses too: how we tested 634,000 whale bets · daily predictions.

Updated 03:24 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.