Predictions today · Tennis

Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz result

October 31, 2026 · 14:10 UTC · Tennis · ATP

Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz — tennis, ATP. Kickoff October 31, 2026, 14:10 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.

Teams: Daniil Medvedev · Carlos Alcaraz

Open the match in the app

Match preview

The Polymarket market makes Carlos Alcaraz the favourite: 92% chance, odds 1.09. Odds: Daniil Medvedev — 12.58, Carlos Alcaraz — 1.09. The line has barely moved in the last 24 hours. The chances add up to 100%: the market margin is about 0.0% (bookmakers usually take 4–8%). $486 175 has already been traded on this match on Polymarket, $219 526 is waiting in the order book. Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in ATP: 81, 46 won (57%). $10 on each would be −$62 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).

Questions about the match

How did the whales do on Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz?

Whales had $1 535 on this match before kickoff; $1 535 of it was on the winning side (100%).

Who will win Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz?

By market prices on Polymarket, Carlos Alcaraz is the favourite with a 92% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.

What are the odds for Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz?

Daniil Medvedev — 12.58, Carlos Alcaraz — 1.09 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.

Where do the whales bet on Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz?

Tracked big wallets have put $5 754 on this match (9 wallets). The side is shown above.

Do whales win in ATP?

Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in ATP: 81, 46 won (57%). $10 on each would be −$62 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).

Upcoming matches of these teams

• Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev · November 4, 2026

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How we make this page

Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after kickoff. Before the game — in the app. We show losses too: how we tested 634,000 whale bets · daily predictions.

Updated 06:27 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.