Predictions today · Tennis
Alan Magadan vs Valerio Aboian prediction
November 3, 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Tennis · ATP
Alan Magadan vs Valerio Aboian — tennis, ATP. Kickoff November 3, 2026, 16:00 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.
Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.
No big bets by tracked wallets on this match yet. They often come in the last hours before kickoff.
Teams: Alan Magadan · Valerio Aboian
Match preview
The Polymarket market makes Valerio Aboian the favourite: 68% chance, odds 1.47. Odds: Alan Magadan — 3.12, Valerio Aboian — 1.47. In the last 24 hours the chance of Alan Magadan went up from 24% to 32% (odds 4.08 → 3.12): the market believes in it more. The chances add up to 100%: the market margin is about 0.0% (bookmakers usually take 4–8%). Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in ATP: 81, 46 won (57%). $10 on each would be −$62 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).
Questions about the match
For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans
Who will win Alan Magadan vs Valerio Aboian?
By market prices on Polymarket, Valerio Aboian is the favourite with a 68% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.
What are the odds for Alan Magadan vs Valerio Aboian?
Alan Magadan — 3.12, Valerio Aboian — 1.47 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.
How have the odds for Alan Magadan vs Valerio Aboian changed?
In the last 24 hours the chance of Alan Magadan went up from 24% to 32% (odds 4.08 → 3.12): the market believes in it more.
Do whales win in ATP?
Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in ATP: 81, 46 won (57%). $10 on each would be −$62 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).
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How we make this page
Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after kickoff. Before the game — in the app. We show losses too: how we tested 634,000 whale bets · daily predictions.
Updated 04:10 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.
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