Predictions today · Tennis
Sebastian Baez vs Tomas Machac result
November 1, 2026 · 12:00 UTC · Tennis · ATP
Whales had $865 on this match before kickoff; $865 of it was on the winning side (100%).
Sebastian Baez vs Tomas Machac — tennis, ATP. Kickoff November 1, 2026, 12:00 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.
Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.
$1 333 · 4 wallets
Most of it is on Tomas Machac to win: $1 284.
Teams: Sebastian Baez · Tomas Machac
Match preview
The Polymarket market makes Tomas Machac the favourite: 92% chance, odds 1.09. Odds: Sebastian Baez — 12.74, Tomas Machac — 1.09. The line has barely moved in the last 24 hours. The chances add up to 100%: the market margin is about 0.0% (bookmakers usually take 4–8%). $55 209 has already been traded on this match on Polymarket, $243 701 is waiting in the order book. Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in ATP: 81, 46 won (57%). $10 on each would be −$62 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).
Questions about the match
For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans
How did the whales do on Sebastian Baez vs Tomas Machac?
Whales had $865 on this match before kickoff; $865 of it was on the winning side (100%).
Who will win Sebastian Baez vs Tomas Machac?
By market prices on Polymarket, Tomas Machac is the favourite with a 92% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.
What are the odds for Sebastian Baez vs Tomas Machac?
Sebastian Baez — 12.74, Tomas Machac — 1.09 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.
Where do the whales bet on Sebastian Baez vs Tomas Machac?
Tracked big wallets have put $1 333 on this match (4 wallets). The side is shown above.
Do whales win in ATP?
Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in ATP: 81, 46 won (57%). $10 on each would be −$62 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).
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- Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac · November 4, 2026
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How we make this page
Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after kickoff. Before the game — in the app. We show losses too: how we tested 634,000 whale bets · daily predictions.
Updated 03:23 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.
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