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Predictions today · Nhl

Red Wings vs Lightning prediction

November 4, 2026 · 00:00 UTC · Nhl · NHL 2026 · 🔴 LIVE

Red Wings vs Lightning — nhl, NHL 2026. Kickoff November 4, 2026, 00:00 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.

Odds and chances (Polymarket market)
Red Wings10.53 · 10%
Lightning1.10 · 90%

Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.

🐋 Whale money on this match

$76 149 · 14 wallets

Which side — in the app (Pro) or here after the game.

Teams: Red Wings · Lightning

Open the match in the app

Market in numbers
🏁 Score0:2
📈 24h moveRed Wings: −20 pp
⚖️ Market margin0.0%
💵 Traded on Polymarket$296 743
📋 Open markets15

Match preview

The Polymarket market makes Lightning the favourite: 90% chance, odds 1.10. Odds: Red Wings — 10.53, Lightning — 1.10. In the last 24 hours the chance of Red Wings went down from 30% to 10% (odds 3.39 → 10.53): the market believes in it less. The chances add up to 100%: the market margin is about 0.0% (bookmakers usually take 4–8%). $296 743 has already been traded on this match on Polymarket, $188 984 is waiting in the order book. Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in NHL 2026: 56, 24 won (43%). $10 on each would be −$118 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).

Questions about the match

📐 Pinnacle fair line · 🔒 Max

For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans

Form and head to head

Form: last 5 matches
Red Wings
@ Calgary Flames 4:1; @ Edmonton Oilers 4:3 SO; vs Chicago Blackhawks 4:1LWWLW
Lightning
@ Vegas Golden Knights 6:2; @ Colorado Avalanche 6:3; @ Utah Mammoth 5:4 OTWLLWL

W — win, D — draw, L — loss; newest on the right.

⚔️ Head to head
04.11.2026 TB 0 – DET 0
15.11.2026 TB 0 – DET 0
20.12.2026 DET 0 – TB 0
23.01.2027 DET 0 – TB 0

Source: ESPN.

Standings

#TeamGPWLOTPts
2Boston Bruins16114123
3Montreal Canadiens1493220
4Ottawa Senators1696119
5Tampa Bay Lightning1383218
6New Jersey Devils1495—18
7Florida Panthers1585218
8Toronto Maple Leafs1686218
9Buffalo Sabres1474317
10Detroit Red Wings1575317
11Washington Capitals1385—16
12New York Islanders1475216
13New York Rangers1577115

Source: ESPN, updated every few hours.

Who will win Red Wings vs Lightning?

By market prices on Polymarket, Lightning is the favourite with a 90% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.

What are the odds for Red Wings vs Lightning?

Red Wings — 10.53, Lightning — 1.10 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.

Where do the whales bet on Red Wings vs Lightning?

Tracked big wallets have put $76 149 on this match (14 wallets). Which side — in the PrognosX app, or on this page after the game.

How have the odds for Red Wings vs Lightning changed?

In the last 24 hours the chance of Red Wings went down from 30% to 10% (odds 3.39 → 10.53): the market believes in it less.

Do whales win in NHL 2026?

Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in NHL 2026: 56, 24 won (43%). $10 on each would be −$118 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).

Upcoming matches of these teams

More NHL 2026 predictions

More matches

How we make this page

Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after kickoff. Before the game — in the app. We show losses too: how we tested 634,000 whale bets · daily predictions.

Updated 00:43 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.

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