Predictions today · Football
Manchester United FC vs Aston Villa FC prediction
November 8, 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Football · Premier League
Manchester United FC vs Aston Villa FC — football, Premier League. Kickoff November 8, 2026, 16:30 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.
Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.
$86 · 2 wallets
Which side — in the app (Pro) or here after the game.
Teams: Manchester United FC · Aston Villa FC
Match preview
The Polymarket market makes Manchester United FC the favourite: 44% chance, odds 2.30. Odds: Manchester United FC — 2.30, Draw — 3.85, Aston Villa FC — 3.28. In the last 24 hours the chance of Aston Villa FC went down from 32% to 30% (odds 3.08 → 3.28): the market believes in it less. The chances add up to 100%: the market margin is about 0.0% (bookmakers usually take 4–8%). $45 707 has already been traded on this match on Polymarket, $81 345 is waiting in the order book. Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in Premier League: 40, 14 won (35%). $10 on each would be −$162 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).
Questions about the match
For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans
Form and head to head
@ Atlético Madrid 2:0; @ Leeds United 1:1; @ Como 4:1LDLLL
@ Newcastle United 1:0; vs Viking FK 3:1; vs Manchester City 2:1WWWLD
W — win, D — draw, L — loss; newest on the right.
Source: ESPN.
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Everton | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +0 | 13 |
| 8 | AFC Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 | Tottenham Hotspur | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +0 | 12 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Hull City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 12 | Leeds United | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 13 | Newcastle United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Ipswich Town | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 | Coventry City | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -7 | 9 |
| 17 | Manchester United | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 7 |
| 19 | Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 6 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
Source: ESPN, updated every few hours.
Who will win Manchester United FC vs Aston Villa FC?
By market prices on Polymarket, Manchester United FC is the favourite with a 44% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.
What are the odds for Manchester United FC vs Aston Villa FC?
Manchester United FC — 2.30, Draw — 3.85, Aston Villa FC — 3.28 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.
Where do the whales bet on Manchester United FC vs Aston Villa FC?
Tracked big wallets have put $86 on this match (2 wallets). Which side — in the PrognosX app, or on this page after the game.
How have the odds for Manchester United FC vs Aston Villa FC changed?
In the last 24 hours the chance of Aston Villa FC went down from 32% to 30% (odds 3.08 → 3.28): the market believes in it less.
Do whales win in Premier League?
Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in Premier League: 40, 14 won (35%). $10 on each would be −$162 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).
More Premier League predictions
- Everton FC vs Coventry City FC · November 6, 2026
- Arsenal FC vs Hull City AFC · November 7, 2026
- Leeds United FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FC · November 7, 2026
- Fulham FC vs Newcastle United FC · November 7, 2026
- Nottingham Forest FC vs Manchester City FC · November 7, 2026
- Crystal Palace FC vs Liverpool FC · November 8, 2026
- Ipswich Town FC vs AFC Bournemouth · November 8, 2026
- Sunderland AFC vs Chelsea FC · November 8, 2026
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How we make this page
Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after kickoff. Before the game — in the app. We show losses too: how we tested 634,000 whale bets · daily predictions.
Updated 00:05 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.
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