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Predictions today · Tennis

Tommy Paul vs Holger Rune result

November 3, 2026 · 14:50 UTC · Tennis · ATP

🏁 Final result
Score7:5, 5:3
✅ Tommy Paul -1.5 (sets handicap)$52 · won
✅ Tommy Paul kazanır$20 · won

Whales had $72 on this match before kickoff; $72 of it was on the winning side (100%).

Tommy Paul vs Holger Rune — tennis, ATP. Kickoff November 3, 2026, 14:50 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.

Odds and chances (Polymarket market)
Tommy Paul1.03 · 98%
Holger Rune40.82 · 2%

Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.

🐋 Whale money on this match

$8 228 · 10 wallets

Most of it is on Holger Rune kazanır: $6 392.

Teams: Tommy Paul · Holger Rune

Open the match in the app

Market in numbers
🏁 Score7:5, 5:3
📈 24h moveTommy Paul: +32 pp
⚖️ Market margin0.0%
💵 Traded on Polymarket$108 626
📋 Open markets12

Match preview

The Polymarket market makes Tommy Paul the favourite: 98% chance, odds 1.03. Odds: Tommy Paul — 1.03, Holger Rune — 40.82. In the last 24 hours the chance of Tommy Paul went up from 66% to 98% (odds 1.53 → 1.03): the market believes in it more. The chances add up to 100%: the market margin is about 0.0% (bookmakers usually take 4–8%). $108 626 has already been traded on this match on Polymarket, $163 739 is waiting in the order book. Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in ATP: 90, 51 won (57%). $10 on each would be −$72 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).

Questions about the match

📐 Pinnacle fair line · 🔒 Max

For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans

How did the whales do on Tommy Paul vs Holger Rune?

Whales had $72 on this match before kickoff; $72 of it was on the winning side (100%).

Who will win Tommy Paul vs Holger Rune?

By market prices on Polymarket, Tommy Paul is the favourite with a 98% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.

What are the odds for Tommy Paul vs Holger Rune?

Tommy Paul — 1.03, Holger Rune — 40.82 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.

Where do the whales bet on Tommy Paul vs Holger Rune?

Tracked big wallets have put $8 228 on this match (10 wallets). The side is shown above.

How have the odds for Tommy Paul vs Holger Rune changed?

In the last 24 hours the chance of Tommy Paul went up from 66% to 98% (odds 1.53 → 1.03): the market believes in it more.

Do whales win in ATP?

Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in ATP: 90, 51 won (57%). $10 on each would be −$72 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).

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How we make this page

Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after kickoff. Before the game — in the app. We show losses too: how we tested 634,000 whale bets · daily predictions.

Updated 00:47 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.

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