Predictions today · Tennis
Hugo Grenier vs Marvin Moeller result
November 3, 2026 · 14:15 UTC · Tennis · ATP
Whales had $84 on this match before kickoff; $0 of it was on the winning side (0%).
Hugo Grenier vs Marvin Moeller — tennis, ATP. Kickoff November 3, 2026, 14:15 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.
Grenier slightly more likely to win, no clear edge over market
Every verdict is tracked to the result — losses included.
Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.
$17 896 · 5 wallets
Most of it is on Hugo Grenier to win: $17 685.
Teams: Hugo Grenier · Marvin Moeller
Match preview
The Polymarket market makes Hugo Grenier the favourite: 98% chance, odds 1.02. Odds: Hugo Grenier — 1.02, Marvin Moeller — 48.78. In the last 24 hours the chance of Hugo Grenier went up from 60% to 98% (odds 1.68 → 1.02): the market believes in it more. The chances add up to 100%: the market margin is about 0.0% (bookmakers usually take 4–8%). $28 476 has already been traded on this match on Polymarket, $151 563 is waiting in the order book. Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in ATP: 90, 51 won (57%). $10 on each would be −$72 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).
Questions about the match
For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans
How did the whales do on Hugo Grenier vs Marvin Moeller?
Whales had $84 on this match before kickoff; $0 of it was on the winning side (0%).
Who will win Hugo Grenier vs Marvin Moeller?
By market prices on Polymarket, Hugo Grenier is the favourite with a 98% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.
What are the odds for Hugo Grenier vs Marvin Moeller?
Hugo Grenier — 1.02, Marvin Moeller — 48.78 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.
Where do the whales bet on Hugo Grenier vs Marvin Moeller?
Tracked big wallets have put $17 896 on this match (5 wallets). The side is shown above.
How have the odds for Hugo Grenier vs Marvin Moeller changed?
In the last 24 hours the chance of Hugo Grenier went up from 60% to 98% (odds 1.68 → 1.02): the market believes in it more.
Do whales win in ATP?
Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in ATP: 90, 51 won (57%). $10 on each would be −$72 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).
Upcoming matches of these teams
- Sumit Nagal vs Hugo Grenier · November 5, 2026
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How we make this page
Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after kickoff. Before the game — in the app. We show losses too: how we tested 634,000 whale bets · daily predictions.
Updated 00:01 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.
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