Predictions today · Football
FC Alverca vs Casa Pia AC prediction
November 7, 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Football · Primeira Liga
FC Alverca vs Casa Pia AC — football, Primeira Liga. Kickoff November 7, 2026, 18:00 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.
Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.
No big bets by tracked wallets on this match yet. They often come in the last hours before kickoff.
Teams: FC Alverca · Casa Pia AC
Match preview
The Polymarket market makes FC Alverca the favourite: 55% chance, odds 1.82. Odds: FC Alverca — 1.82, Draw — 3.92, Casa Pia AC — 5.26. The line has barely moved in the last 24 hours. The chances add up to 100%: the market margin is about 0.0% (bookmakers usually take 4–8%). $39 263 has already been traded on this match on Polymarket, $12 195 is waiting in the order book. Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in Primeira Liga: 13, 10 won (77%). $10 on each would be +$42 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).
Questions about the match
For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans
Form and head to head
vs Rio Ave 1:0; @ FC Famalicao 4:1; @ Tondela 2:0WWLLL
@ Estoril 2:1; vs Santa Clara 1:0; @ Alpendorada 1:0WLWWL
W — win, D — draw, L — loss; newest on the right.
Source: ESPN.
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 | Braga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 14 |
| 10 | Alverca | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | FC Famalicao | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +0 | 10 |
| 12 | Estrela | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | Vitória de Guimaraes | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | +0 | 9 |
| 14 | Maritimo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
| 16 | C.D. Nacional | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -9 | 7 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
| 18 | Estoril | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -14 | 2 |
Source: ESPN, updated every few hours.
Who will win FC Alverca vs Casa Pia AC?
By market prices on Polymarket, FC Alverca is the favourite with a 55% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.
What are the odds for FC Alverca vs Casa Pia AC?
FC Alverca — 1.82, Draw — 3.92, Casa Pia AC — 5.26 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.
Do whales win in Primeira Liga?
Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in Primeira Liga: 13, 10 won (77%). $10 on each would be +$42 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).
More Primeira Liga predictions
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs Sport Lisboa e Benfica · November 8, 2026
- Vitória SC vs FC Porto · November 8, 2026
- Sporting CP vs Moreirense FC · November 7, 2026
- FC Famalicão vs FC Arouca · November 6, 2026
- CD Nacional vs Académico de Viseu FC · November 7, 2026
- CD Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente FC · November 8, 2026
- Estoril Praia vs CS Marítimo · November 8, 2026
- Rio Ave FC vs SC Braga · November 8, 2026
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How we make this page
Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after kickoff. Before the game — in the app. We show losses too: how we tested 634,000 whale bets · daily predictions.
Updated 00:06 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.
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