Predictions today · Football
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München prediction
November 7, 2026 · 14:30 UTC · Football · Bundesliga
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München — football, Bundesliga. Kickoff November 7, 2026, 14:30 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.
Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.
No big bets by tracked wallets on this match yet. They often come in the last hours before kickoff.
Teams: 1. FSV Mainz 05 · FC Bayern München
Match preview
The Polymarket market makes FC Bayern München the favourite: 73% chance, odds 1.37. Odds: 1. FSV Mainz 05 — 7.41, Draw — 6.90, FC Bayern München — 1.37. In the last 24 hours the chance of FC Bayern München went up from 70% to 73% (odds 1.44 → 1.37): the market believes in it more. The chances add up to 101%: the market margin is about 1.0% (bookmakers usually take 4–8%). $51 670 has already been traded on this match on Polymarket, $44 270 is waiting in the order book. Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in Bundesliga: 13, 8 won (62%). $10 on each would be +$21 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).
Questions about the match
For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans
Form and head to head
vs Bayer Leverkusen 4:3; @ Schalke 04 1:0; vs Werder Bremen 3:2LWLLL
vs RB Leipzig 6:1; vs Arsenal 2:2; @ SC Freiburg 3:1WDWWD
W — win, D — draw, L — loss; newest on the right.
Source: ESPN.
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 | SV Elversberg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +0 | 13 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 11 |
| 9 | Mainz | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | +0 | 10 |
| 10 | FC Augsburg | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 | TSG Hoffenheim | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 9 |
Source: ESPN, updated every few hours.
Who will win 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München?
By market prices on Polymarket, FC Bayern München is the favourite with a 73% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.
What are the odds for 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München?
1. FSV Mainz 05 — 7.41, Draw — 6.90, FC Bayern München — 1.37 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.
How have the odds for 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München changed?
In the last 24 hours the chance of FC Bayern München went up from 70% to 73% (odds 1.44 → 1.37): the market believes in it more.
Do whales win in Bundesliga?
Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in Bundesliga: 13, 8 won (62%). $10 on each would be +$21 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).
Upcoming matches of these teams
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs FC Bayern München · November 10, 2026
More Bundesliga predictions
- 1. FC Köln vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen · November 8, 2026
- SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Frankfurt · November 7, 2026
- Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach · November 6, 2026
- RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg · November 7, 2026
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs SV 07 Elversberg · November 7, 2026
- VfB Stuttgart vs SV Werder Bremen · November 7, 2026
- SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin · November 8, 2026
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC Schalke 04 · November 8, 2026
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How we make this page
Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after kickoff. Before the game — in the app. We show losses too: how we tested 634,000 whale bets · daily predictions.
Updated 00:44 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.
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