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Predictions today · Football

Belgium vs Italy prediction

November 15, 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Football · UEFA Nations League

Belgium vs Italy — football, UEFA Nations League. Kickoff November 15, 2026, 19:45 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.

Odds and chances (Polymarket market)
Belgium2.15 · 46%
Empate3.08 · 32%
Italy2.13 · 47%

Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.

🐋 Whale money

No big bets by tracked wallets on this match yet. They often come in the last hours before kickoff.

Teams: Belgium · Italy

Open the match in the app

Market in numbers
⏱ Kickoff in11 d 17 h
📈 24h moveItaly: +21 pp
💵 Traded on Polymarket$46 348
📋 Open markets132

Match preview

The Polymarket market makes Italy the favourite: 47% chance, odds 2.13. Odds: Belgium — 2.15, Draw — 3.08, Italy — 2.13. In the last 24 hours the chance of Italy went up from 26% to 47% (odds 3.85 → 2.13): the market believes in it more. $46 348 has already been traded on this match on Polymarket.

Questions about the match

📐 Pinnacle fair line · 🔒 Max

For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans

Who will win Belgium vs Italy?

By market prices on Polymarket, Italy is the favourite with a 47% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.

What are the odds for Belgium vs Italy?

Belgium — 2.15, Draw — 3.08, Italy — 2.13 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.

How have the odds for Belgium vs Italy changed?

In the last 24 hours the chance of Italy went up from 26% to 47% (odds 3.85 → 2.13): the market believes in it more.

Upcoming matches of these teams

More UEFA Nations League predictions

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How we make this page

Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after kickoff. Before the game — in the app. We show losses too: how we tested 634,000 whale bets · daily predictions.

Updated 01:46 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.

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