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Thomas Petersen vs Gabriel Lorenço prediction

November 7, 2026 · 22:00 UTC · Ufc · UFC

Thomas Petersen vs Gabriel Lorenço — ufc, UFC. Kickoff November 7, 2026, 22:00 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.

Teams: Thomas Petersen · Gabriel Lorenço

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Match preview

The Polymarket market makes Thomas Petersen the favourite: 62% chance, odds 1.60. Odds: Thomas Petersen — 1.60, Gabriel Lorenço — 2.67. In the last 24 hours the chance of Thomas Petersen went up from 58% to 62% (odds 1.71 → 1.60): the market believes in it more. The chances add up to 100%: the market margin is about 0.0% (bookmakers usually take 4–8%). $1 083 has already been traded on this match on Polymarket, $14 453 is waiting in the order book.

Questions about the match

Who will win Thomas Petersen vs Gabriel Lorenço?

By market prices on Polymarket, Thomas Petersen is the favourite with a 62% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.

What are the odds for Thomas Petersen vs Gabriel Lorenço?

Thomas Petersen — 1.60, Gabriel Lorenço — 2.67 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.

How have the odds for Thomas Petersen vs Gabriel Lorenço changed?

In the last 24 hours the chance of Thomas Petersen went up from 58% to 62% (odds 1.71 → 1.60): the market believes in it more.

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How we make this page

Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after kickoff. Before the game — in the app. We show losses too: how we tested 634,000 whale bets · daily predictions.

Updated 04:34 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.