Predictions today · Nba
Heat vs Warriors prediction
November 6, 2026 · 03:00 UTC · Nba · NBA 2026
Heat vs Warriors — nba, NBA 2026. Kickoff November 6, 2026, 03:00 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.
Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.
No big bets by tracked wallets on this match yet. They often come in the last hours before kickoff.
Match preview
The Polymarket market makes Warriors the favourite: 61% chance, odds 1.64. Odds: Heat — 2.56, Warriors — 1.64. In the last 24 hours the chance of Heat went down from 41% to 39% (odds 2.44 → 2.56): the market believes in it less. The chances add up to 100%: the market margin is about 0.0% (bookmakers usually take 4–8%). Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in NBA 2026: 922, 437 won (47%). $10 on each would be −$932 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).
Questions about the match
For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans
Form and head to head
@ Charlotte Hornets 115:110; vs Dallas Mavericks 113:109; @ Atlanta Hawks 129:117LLWWL
@ Denver Nuggets 134:114; @ Minnesota Timberwolves 119:114; vs Los Angeles Lakers 112:95WWWWW
W — win, D — draw, L — loss; newest on the right.
Source: ESPN.
Standings
| # | Team | W | L | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atlanta Hawks | 4 | 4 | .500 |
| 8 | New York Knicks | 3 | 4 | .429 |
| 9 | Charlotte Hornets | 3 | 5 | .375 |
| 10 | Miami Heat | 2 | 5 | .286 |
| 11 | Orlando Magic | 2 | 5 | .286 |
| 12 | Indiana Pacers | 2 | 6 | .250 |
| 13 | Chicago Bulls | 1 | 6 | .143 |
Source: ESPN, updated every few hours.
Who will win Heat vs Warriors?
By market prices on Polymarket, Warriors is the favourite with a 61% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.
What are the odds for Heat vs Warriors?
Heat — 2.56, Warriors — 1.64 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.
How have the odds for Heat vs Warriors changed?
In the last 24 hours the chance of Heat went down from 41% to 39% (odds 2.44 → 2.56): the market believes in it less.
Do whales win in NBA 2026?
Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in NBA 2026: 922, 437 won (47%). $10 on each would be −$932 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).
Upcoming matches of these teams
- Heat vs Clippers · November 5, 2026
- Magic vs Warriors · November 8, 2026
- Heat vs Kings · November 9, 2026
- Pelicans vs Warriors · November 10, 2026
More NBA 2026 predictions
- Hawks vs Wizards · November 5, 2026
- Bucks vs Celtics · November 5, 2026
- 76ers vs Pistons · November 5, 2026
- Hornets vs Nets · November 5, 2026
- Bulls vs Knicks · November 5, 2026
- Pacers vs Grizzlies · November 5, 2026
- Timberwolves vs Rockets · November 5, 2026
- Jazz vs Pelicans · November 5, 2026
More matches
- Trail Blazers vs Suns · November 5, 2026
- Cavaliers vs Thunder · November 5, 2026
- Mavericks vs Spurs · November 5, 2026
- Raptors vs Nuggets · November 5, 2026
How we make this page
Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after kickoff. Before the game — in the app. We show losses too: how we tested 634,000 whale bets · daily predictions.
Updated 00:44 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.
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