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Predictions today · Tennis

Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Lorenzo Giustino result

November 3, 2026 · 12:30 UTC · Tennis · ATP

🏁 Final result
Score7:6(7:5), 4:4
Gana ❌ Lorenzo Giustino$35 · lost

Whales had $35 on this match before kickoff; $0 of it was on the winning side (0%).

Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Lorenzo Giustino — tennis, ATP. Kickoff November 3, 2026, 12:30 UTC. Below: the market odds, how much the biggest Polymarket players have put on this match and where. PrognosX tracks big sports bets by smart wallets and shows every result, losses included.

🧠 AI analyst said before the game

Caniato slightly more likely, probably 2-0 or 2-1

Every verdict is tracked to the result — losses included.

Odds and chances (Polymarket market)
Carlo Alberto Caniato1.18 · 84%
Lorenzo Giustino6.45 · 16%

Chance = market price; odds = 1 / price.

🐋 Whale money on this match

$1 702 · 4 wallets

Most of it is on Gana Carlo Alberto Caniato: $1 552.

Teams: Carlo Alberto Caniato · Lorenzo Giustino

Open the match in the app

Market in numbers
🏁 Score7:6(7:5), 4:4
📈 24h moveCarlo Alberto Caniato: +21 pp
⚖️ Market margin0.0%
💵 Traded on Polymarket$29 049
📋 Open markets12

Match preview

The Polymarket market makes Carlo Alberto Caniato the favourite: 84% chance, odds 1.18. Odds: Carlo Alberto Caniato — 1.18, Lorenzo Giustino — 6.45. In the last 24 hours the chance of Carlo Alberto Caniato went up from 64% to 84% (odds 1.57 → 1.18): the market believes in it more. The chances add up to 100%: the market margin is about 0.0% (bookmakers usually take 4–8%). $29 049 has already been traded on this match on Polymarket, $84 822 is waiting in the order book. Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in ATP: 90, 51 won (57%). $10 on each would be −$72 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).

Questions about the match

📐 Pinnacle fair line · 🔒 Max

For many matches: Pinnacle's fair odds next to Polymarket — where Polymarket pays more, and where whales bet into that value. Compare plans

How did the whales do on Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Lorenzo Giustino?

Whales had $35 on this match before kickoff; $0 of it was on the winning side (0%).

Who will win Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Lorenzo Giustino?

By market prices on Polymarket, Carlo Alberto Caniato is the favourite with a 84% chance. That is the crowd's estimate, not a guarantee.

What are the odds for Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Lorenzo Giustino?

Carlo Alberto Caniato — 1.18, Lorenzo Giustino — 6.45 (decimal odds = 1 / Polymarket price). They change until kickoff.

Where do the whales bet on Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Lorenzo Giustino?

Tracked big wallets have put $1 702 on this match (4 wallets). The side is shown above.

How have the odds for Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Lorenzo Giustino changed?

In the last 24 hours the chance of Carlo Alberto Caniato went up from 64% to 84% (odds 1.57 → 1.18): the market believes in it more.

Do whales win in ATP?

Over 30 days, big pre-game bets by tracked whales in ATP: 90, 51 won (57%). $10 on each would be −$72 after fees. Copying every whale is not a strategy — that is why PrognosX picks Smart whales (they beat the closing line).

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How we make this page

Odds are live Polymarket prices (1 / price). Whale money is real on-chain bets by tracked wallets — every one can be checked. Which side they took is shown after kickoff. Before the game — in the app. We show losses too: how we tested 634,000 whale bets · daily predictions.

Updated 01:45 UTC. 18+. Not betting advice.

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